Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x877f9bf7dc6f5ba99b4be80545aded7a315d8de8ba209fb250d0887225936cda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Racing Club de Lensof RC Strasbourg Alsace, Racing Club de Lens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 22c | 20,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.97 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Racing Club de Lens | 78c | 12,571$9,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.16 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Racing Club de Lens | 78c | 7,676$5,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.77 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 22c | 2,102$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.54 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Racing Club de Lens | 78c | 1,072$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.84 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 22c | 599.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Racing Club de Lens | 77c | 380.63$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.9 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Racing Club de Lens | 80c | 333$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 22c | 290$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Racing Club de Lens | 78c | 272.44$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 15c | 229$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Racing Club de Lens | 78c | 170.77$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Racing Club de Lens | 79c | 133.77$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Racing Club de Lens | 78c | 110.19$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Racing Club de Lens | 78c | 101.25$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 20c | 96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Racing Club de Lens | 78c | 93.09$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Racing Club de Lens | 18c | 91.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.28per pick | 24cpaid | +330.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bf…231fbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 18c | 85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 25c | 79.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Racing Club de Lens | 78c | 65.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Racing Club de Lens | 80c | 59.54$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Racing Club de Lens | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed Racing Club de Lens | 78c | 23.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Racing Club de Lens | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Racing Club de Lens | 78c | 18.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)this page
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5Under won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.