TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
RC Strasbourg Alsaceof Racing Club de Lens, RC Strasbourg Alsace
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,068
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,162

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,068 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5028…91c5backed Racing Club de Lens14c1,250$175 inLost-$1754837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Racing Club de Lens15c500$75 inLost-$752343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Racing Club de Lens14c357$50 inLost-$49.9826550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Racing Club de Lens15c333.33$50 inLost-$507429.7%22 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2702…a103backed Racing Club de Lens15c329.73$49 inLost-$49.461241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Racing Club de Lens13c313.53$40 inLost-$40.1221144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Racing Club de Lens15c249$37 inLost-$37.3527049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Racing Club de Lens15c249$37 inLost-$37.3533148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Racing Club de Lens15c249$37 inLost-$37.3527748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Racing Club de Lens5c243.79$12 inLost-$12.431,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a0…da0dbacked Racing Club de Lens15c133.33$20 inLost-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Racing Club de Lens13c123.3$16 inLost-$16.0311250.9%57 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Racing Club de Lens15c100$15 inLost-$153828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x741c…bf80backed Racing Club de Lens13c99.78$13 inLost-$12.973411.8%4 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Racing Club de Lens17c91$15 inLost-$15.4727244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dbf…abfabacked Racing Club de Lens14c72.63$10 inLost-$10.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.