Ligue 1 · resolved market
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80c072b4c99b99fc6e6b65fa24166252636e80203112d3f64b0331cb140412df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 19c | 13,068$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.98 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 19c | 1,276$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.29 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 19c | 978.81$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.27 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Under | 22c | 870$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Over | 77c | 650$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 3c | 637.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.28per pick | 24cpaid | +330.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7b86…c943backed Over | 80c | 562.5$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 20c | 546.9$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.21 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91e…b045backed Under | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 4cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Under | 13c | 373.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 17c | 367.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 72c | 343.49$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.05 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 80c | 318.7$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 19c | 316.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x688d…f3cfbacked Over | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Over | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 13c | 285.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…8f1abacked Under | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7dc…af80backed Over | 79c | 211.06$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 64cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 16c | 196.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cab…e9c4backed Over | 76c | 174.62$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 18c | 165.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 80c | 154.46$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 75c | 134.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Under | 24c | 123.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 29c | 106.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Under | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 22c | 102.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa3…ef55backed Over | 80c | 102$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Under | 19c | 100.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 24c | 87.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 80c | 60.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb992…0838backed Over | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd39…600cbacked Over | 80c | 54.56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 23c | 45.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 78c | 44.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 74c | 31.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa439…5802backed Over | 80c | 27.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 79c | 25.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 79c | 19.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 57 | 78.9%45 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5this page
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5Under won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.