TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc7dc…af80

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 58 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT3265.6%21 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.98
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.97
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$10.47
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$49.9
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$30.77
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.57
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.86
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$44.85
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.76
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+56.3%+$6.12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Chelsea FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.21
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+72.4%+$9.96
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+150%+$22.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$6.57
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.07
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$5.2
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$8.56
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.07
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+100%+$20
US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$9.86
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.31
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$109.94
Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30.94
US Lecce vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+37%+$26.64
Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+37%+$19.47
SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.85
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.48
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.04
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.9
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+58.7%+$5.9
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.37
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$119.14
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$11.01
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+26.7%+$40
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.72
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.36
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$5.39
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$11.88
Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10.11
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$9.59
All 15 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+58.6%+$11.71
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA River Plate: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18.77
SE Palmeiras vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+31.6%+$14.21
Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$19.96
CS Cristal vs. CS 2 de Mayo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
CA Paranaense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20.52
CA Nacional Potosí vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+143.9%+$43.07
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20.42
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1090%9 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick64cpaid+45.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$48.59
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+26.6%+$44.32
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$43.89
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+53.8%+$5.42
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.67
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+51.5%+$5.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.21
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$24.97
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.25
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$166.53
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+138.1%+$96.68
AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$414.73
Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$6.06
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.47
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.89
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick72cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick73cpaid-41.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+163.4%+$5,235.22
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$801Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$800.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+35.2%+$141.2
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$600.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.