TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,928
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,868

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,928 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under27c13,385$3,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,658.632,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over70c4,286$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.83464.7%22 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf5a…bf0abacked Under5c3,747$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.37742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick65cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over76c3,003$2,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.642290.9%20 W · 2 L+5.3wins+0.24per pick67cpaid+39.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under30c1,999$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.840447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over70c1,748$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.432152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over70c1,700$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5104575.6%34 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a3c…84c5backed Over69c1,185$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.571675%12 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under31c1,021$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.5498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over75c965$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.643357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over69c924.64$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.6410361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under30c799.97$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9940549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Over69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under24c519.46$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over69c515.92$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.6211161.3%68 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over75c490$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5514351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over74c450$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11711268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7815459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over78c430.2$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.351,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under30c323.17$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3851139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over69c294.29$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7615253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Over76c247.26$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.343141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under22c230.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0516340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under31c204$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2437250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Over69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622584%21 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over69c196.29$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3524953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4115648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502040%8 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over76c150$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364365.1%28 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Over64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545339.6%21 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc6e…d043backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.865354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Over69c140$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.49353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.584858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Over69c127$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.379456.4%53 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under30c126.22$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.349750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over68c114.71$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7118055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over69c112$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7216046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7dc…af80backed Over70c103.13$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.941764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2826747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303675%27 W · 9 L+6.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3145547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over74c93.76$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.38966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234e…fa88backed Over60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over74c83$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4114549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Over63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.371090%9 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick61cpaid+46.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under25c77.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1523244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over72c77.08$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.586972.5%50 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked Under22c72.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.99616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-77.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.46977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4633144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4317958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4915259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over74c67.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.772657.7%15 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under32c65.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9114845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over75c62.32$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.34753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1e2…66e2backed Over65c61.51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.532263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under27c59.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1216251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over76c56.82$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4291043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under30c55.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.564524.4%11 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a94…b06bbacked Over68c52.29$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.731163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154776.6%36 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159944.4%44 W · 55 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185558.2%32 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Over69c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.513350.4%67 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x501c…34d8backed Over66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under31c44.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0424955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Over69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.483857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over69c42.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3226040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bc5…a45bbacked Over70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.865464.8%35 W · 19 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Under24c41.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.045246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.26349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe856…4711backed Under36c38.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-75.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under32c38.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.226245.2%28 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ff0…271bbacked Over70c33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.92065%13 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.252450%12 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbcd6…a082backed Over69c30.43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.432466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61bb…1627backed Over70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91752.9%9 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick71cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xedad…ed92backed Over70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Over70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5712744.1%56 W · 71 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd834…cc5bbacked Over70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.47657.9%44 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc7…f1b8backed Over60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over72c23.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.47944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f6f…5a01backed Over70c21.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.651070%7 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…5712backed Over70c20.51$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.151190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick70cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15b8…89e4backed Over65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1755…a572backed Over69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.24772.3%34 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over69c19.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1519542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.