Serie A · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97cbec285b2555a571d36640cf8b78a8b13a1b3b7748f3a7876cd6466a260824
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 2,929$2,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.27 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 22c | 999.96$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 22c | 999.94$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 20c | 825.56$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.97 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 78c | 454.55$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 21c | 451.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.79 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 28c | 330.79$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.62 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…9942backed Under | 80c | 325$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 32c | 316.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Over | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 70c | 172$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 38c | 158.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 22c | 144.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.35per pick | 41cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over | 21c | 103.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…9af5backed Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 21c | 99.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 74c | 97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 69c | 90.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 26c | 83.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 79c | 78.27$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 17c | 65.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 78c | 64.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under | 78c | 64.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 29c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 77c | 59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 22c | 58.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 30c | 46.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 79c | 39.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc2…757cbacked Under | 79c | 34.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88c…f67dbacked Under | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 78c | 15.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 78c | 13.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5this page
- Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.