TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$329,576
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$362,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,576 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Over42c72,396$30,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,059.125349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Under59c60,000$35,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,233.24837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c40,778$23,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,673.162,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8c…d09dbacked Over43c23,299$10,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,280.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over41c19,725$8,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,662.8293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef0…df4abacked Under60c19,149$11,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,526.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under58c13,095$7,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,595.0522348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7009952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under58c8,682$5,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0604445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2795…fd6bbacked Over52c7,097$3,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,383.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over44c6,820$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,819.25580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+85.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under58c6,403$3,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,703.8198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over42c5,600$2,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,247.965550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under56c4,500$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.9820544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under61c4,468$2,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,724.694748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb15c…9ec7backed Over36c4,172$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,677.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+179.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Over41c3,700$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1831435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01ba…d35fbacked Under43c2,999$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.69560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+95%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over58c2,977$1,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.252152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over45c2,466$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3523158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over47c2,320$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.132290.9%20 W · 2 L+5.3wins+0.24per pick67cpaid+39.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over40c2,169$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.9640447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Over50c1,999$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.543167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over40c1,964$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.3833148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under58c1,853$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.512552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c1,650$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.249850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over48c1,627$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.115967.8%40 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over42c1,560$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.977255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over42c1,520$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.6145547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.9915450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under58c1,300$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75012049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under61c1,196$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.326744.8%30 W · 37 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Over43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.79785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+56.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1080…142abacked Over41c1,147$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.47560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over44c1,088$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.284575.6%34 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under58c1,033$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.3726040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under57c1,008$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.512250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Under57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5706437.5%24 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under56c934.66$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.6991043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Over40c899.99$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.992240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over44c795.45$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.4517744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over42c741.99$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3340549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under38c731.06$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.814524.4%11 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Over42c721.43$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.432330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed Over41c680.83$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.693125.8%8 W · 23 L-7.0wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-57%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under59c677.97$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over55c637.31$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.7910361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over43c632.7$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.6421650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over41c609.76$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.763444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over43c604.65$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.654254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over41c603.17$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.876328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2583438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2754242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Over42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2905563.6%35 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2807254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7efb…add5backed Over42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.19580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+88.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over43c469$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.0914549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc647…2f03backed Over44c409.09$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.092171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over39c400$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2449440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under55c395.4$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.4716251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over44c350.23$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.3611348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Over41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1772045%9 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1835236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1472466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under58c269.99$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.2525556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over44c262.01$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.739937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c260.8$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.321,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under49c252.29$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7224955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over41c250$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.56950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.97950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Over43c239.53$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.531560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over43c238.91$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13618055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over41c235$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.6516046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5611429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.565354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d4c…a700backed Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over41c225$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7513550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over59c220$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.23357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c209$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.534643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Over40c199.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0817058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3111161.3%68 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5e8…8745backed Over47c185.21$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.21475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+38.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over43c180$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.69045.6%41 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f7c…a489backed Over45c174.07$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.743740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under60c171.19$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.718940.4%36 W · 53 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over41c169.19$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1938739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under57c167.06$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.689750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24be…8d08backed Under66c160.73$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over44c159.09$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.093033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over56c154.21$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2213648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over49c153.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0613142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6715847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.56145.9%28 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over43c139.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.535147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over44c132.73$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.335554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over43c129.23$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.662875%21 W · 7 L+5.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+39.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under59c127.27$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.28752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf035…d35fbacked Over41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.951266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under58c121.05$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3451139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.