TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc647…2f03

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
211
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Serie A, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT4042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.96
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$410.97
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$850
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+196.9%+$39.37
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+113%+$113.04
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$132.12
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$137.18
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$102.65
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$41.96
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$29.11
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 4 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+65.5%+$65.52
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2564%16 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$23.49
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41.69
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$67.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$85.81
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$60
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$153.33
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$101.25
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
All 25 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+59.8%+$101.67
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
VfB Stuttgart vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$46.67
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$110.96
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$180
RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+44.9%+$80.87
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$94.29
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+50.3%+$15.08
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.18
FC Bayern München vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
1. FC Köln vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$20.61
SC Freiburg vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
VfL Wolfsburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+40.8%+$12.25
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$146.67
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$54.2
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$30.3
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$42.28
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$85.71
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+56.7%+$68
Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+69.5%+$83.39
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$140.87
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+51.5%+$92.73
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Manchester City FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.78
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Club Brugge KV vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+58.7%+$23.49
Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$25.56
Arsenal FC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+53.8%+$16.15
All 24 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$25.57
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$53.91
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+53.8%+$75.38
ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+127.3%+$229.09
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.45
SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+58.7%+$17.62
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+53%+$15.9
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Pisa SC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
AS Roma vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+73.3%+$14.66
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.7%+$27.87
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.9%+$32.74
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$55.24
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+72.6%+$130.68
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+85.5%+$102.59
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+156.4%+$187.69
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+61.3%+$18.39
Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.67
All 20 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NAC Breda vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
NAC Breda vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
SBV Excelsior vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$180
AFC Ajax vs. NEC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Sparta Rotterdam vs. NEC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
SBV Excelsior vs. AZ: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
AFC Ajax vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
AZ vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30
PEC Zwolle vs. FC Volendam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+68.8%+$13.76
NEC vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
AZ vs. NEC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will AEK win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
AZ vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$114.66
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+31.2%+$31.16
FC Midtjylland vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+150.3%+$75.13
FC Midtjylland vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+37%+$36.99
PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. OGC Nice: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$22.57
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+86.7%+$234.19
Paris FC vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+81.8%+$188.18
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.78
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick21cpaid+198.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$5,250
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$115
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$264
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$236
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$121
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.