TailMyPicks
Market

Serie A · resolved market

ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$252,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$257,082

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,153 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x916f…53babacked Over51c100,761$51,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,380.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c85,515$42,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,702.142,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over52c31,138$16,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,191.744658.7%27 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Under48c21,631$10,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,168.133100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under48c15,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,799.991050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under52c12,313$6,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,936.53357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c12,179$5,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,211.1134643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under48c10,545$5,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,483.422348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under48c7,755$3,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,032.820544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over66c6,487$4,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,297.362152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…1660backed Over53c5,660$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over51c3,700$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90445547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over52c3,606$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.5233148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdae0…836abacked Over52c3,462$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c2,972$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.31,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under48c2,600$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3524748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b84…c221backed Under48c1,979$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over48c1,925$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.31250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ace…ea51backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over39c1,538$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004017.5%7 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7653948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over52c1,344$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.973228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Over49c1,306$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2a…cfd8backed Over53c1,138$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5303641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under47c999.98$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.996839.7%27 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over51c979.34$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.461520%3 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under33c901.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.764738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under52c889.85$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.1516838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Over48c859.12$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.342133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over53c849.06$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4508757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x434d…bed3backed Over53c841.4$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.94450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over36c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Under49c731.46$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.861241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c691.55$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.529350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3187749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa2…74ecbacked Under50c579.68$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under66c529.15$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.014254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Under48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2603250%16 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2556737.3%25 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2657254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Over11c499.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534621.7%10 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over51c490$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.95935.6%21 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Under50c471.58$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.792161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over3c470.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.151225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76ca…6a3abacked Under38c459.41$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.671154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+43.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c428.38$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.8498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over52c398$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.9637250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over33c392.31$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under50c380.18$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.8423244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under61c366.14$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6891043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under48c353.22$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.1413754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Under44c342.07$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.074231%13 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc647…2f03backed Over53c339.62$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over52c333$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.164355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c314.74$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.4393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under48c310.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.464845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under48c280.9$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.699750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under47c276.71$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6596942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over52c270$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7118858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under48c245$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.416046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under35c218.34$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8349850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17ff…d7afbacked Over68c208.82$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4913…d01bbacked Under64c205.79$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under50c204.84$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.748752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over48c200.74$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.369937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…85aabacked Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10411429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ba…0f1abacked Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Over45c199.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa03f…a7dabacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf035…d35fbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Over50c184$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over51c179.98$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.799045.6%41 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over22c175$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.55740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under51c174.15$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9924955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over51c158.81$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1140549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed Under48c156.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.251145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e1…0f14backed Under47c151.1$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.08666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+46%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x548c…9d1fbacked Under48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+45%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over32c149.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484524.4%11 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under48c147.17$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.533652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d98…84cabacked Over30c138.27$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.86742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+44.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under51c137.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.253441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Over49c137.14$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc34…799dbacked Over48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under33c120.28$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.092240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.24553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Under61c110$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.91369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over52c96.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9733144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over53c95.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012232%39 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.