Serie A · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x787c8b1cc64b41480a8617789d5476ee55956605acf565fde6958045057ec1ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 5,248$3,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.57 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 29c | 3,023$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.67 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Under | 75c | 1,999$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 1,311$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.63 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 18c | 1,249$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.66 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Over | 30c | 860$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 29c | 664.16$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.97 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 30c | 566.67$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed Over | 30c | 533.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 29c | 499.94$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.48 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…944fbacked Over | 31c | 397.48$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 30c | 384$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 29c | 333$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 59c | 312.61$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 70c | 284$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd74…8afebacked Under | 69c | 242.86$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Under | 78c | 237$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 30c | 234.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 24c | 233.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed Under | 70c | 219$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -7.0wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -57%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 70c | 193.66$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ce…670abacked Under | 69c | 154.62$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 70c | 144$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Over | 17c | 138.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 72c | 133.26$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 16c | 106.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Under | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Under | 70c | 99.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 20c | 86.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415d…a37cbacked Under | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 77c | 74.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 71c | 70.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 72c | 66.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed92…fbf2backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 30c | 64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Under | 71c | 50.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98e2…658bbacked Under | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 29c | 37.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 74c | 36.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Under | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Under | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 77c | 28.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Under | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 72c | 26.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 43c | 24.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f191backed Over | 42c | 24.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…3af6backed Under | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Under | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34e4…e1e1backed Under | 70c | 21.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Under | 74c | 20.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5this page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)Pisa SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.