TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,070
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,329

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,070 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c16,357$7,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,298.632,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22b0…ef31backed Over5c2,626$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over77c2,420$1,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,863.4898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over51c2,375$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2223158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c2,011$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.021,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under23c1,500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15536630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Over44c1,359$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over77c1,297$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9991471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over52c1,163$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Under14c1,108$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.622254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+79.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Over28c1,072$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.131850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over61c1,045$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6412937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Under22c999.94$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.955064%32 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over73c899.27$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.4711268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over57c860.47$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.477552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45fb…aad0backed Over30c836.67$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over60c763.67$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.215459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac86…b3b3backed Over77c756.88$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59e8…c5e8backed Over80c734.55$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Over26c695.26$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.642133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under72c654.61$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.293271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Over7c577.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under23c533$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.414355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27515450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under18c466.79$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.251139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over41c463.41$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1903033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c444.79$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4791043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Under68c433$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.142650%13 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under47c382.19$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.4416838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over54c370$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.82958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over41c362.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over78c355.15$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.33560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over59c339.86$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8911161.3%68 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9915042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Over77c300$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2313158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Over69c300$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2073056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over78c287.14$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.128065%52 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over70c258$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.163357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Over78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008052.5%42 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007958.2%46 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over59c241.17$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8718055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadb4…d79fbacked Over78c236.67$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over31c214.36$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over48c208.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Over77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1542584%21 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under23c198.17$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5924953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Over77c192.71$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.393161.3%19 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe9e…7505backed Over25c176$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+20.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under55c149.65$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3914845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under23c149.12$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8233148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under13c126.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.055935.6%21 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over36c121.6$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.644753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under22c117.38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5646047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2840…ec7ebacked Over10c115.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.111258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over69c102.9$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718242.7%35 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x138d…3bd4backed Under14c100.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.48450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+168.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Under23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Under26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f74…4fccbacked Over77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7730%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Under23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+41.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over76c99.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.998158%47 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df7…29c5backed Over55c91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked Over28c89.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Under23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.963675%27 W · 9 L+6.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over28c86.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244231%13 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under22c83.51$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1340549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde5e…827abacked Under24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.334100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+128.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b5f…b7e9backed Under24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.33728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d98…84cabacked Under26c82.45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.75742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+44.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under41c81.7$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1123244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…1c1dbacked Over37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Over37c78.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.92433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed Over21c71.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.843324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over30c71.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.435740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over33c70$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.13748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd60…ab55backed Over39c70$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a78…f457backed Over76c68.82$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502657.7%15 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under24c66.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.676245.2%28 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Over23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-73.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Over77c64.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick73cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa567…063dbacked Over57c64.91$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed Over75c64.59$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.441675%12 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over78c64.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under44c62.36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1731051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over42c57.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2438739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x024f…5857backed Over38c56.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.61752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under24c56.25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7530828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under23c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.545547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.55558.2%32 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over77c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.56768.7%46 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under22c49.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9913350.4%67 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf23c…249bbacked Over47c45.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.24757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea8…af03backed Over35c43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.051369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+53.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over41c42.93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.599750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Under64c40.39$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+42.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.