TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,174
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,176

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,174 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4b76…21b3backed Yes8c5,002$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c2,401$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.52,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No47c1,082$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.5640447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes52c1,080$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.616046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed No47c1,062$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.893641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed No48c1,038$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.362860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No48c1,001$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.2933148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes26c961$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.865935.6%21 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Yes50c936.58$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4712254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+79.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes53c910$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.34136.6%15 W · 26 L-6.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes52c861.54$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44813946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes52c850$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.524953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c54…efa4backed No48c802.17$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.17887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick57cpaid+51.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No56c601.72$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.841,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed No47c425.65$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.654973.5%36 W · 13 L+9.4wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+39.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x94d4…a896backed No74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.412060%12 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No48c368.08$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.6591043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9feb…ac7abacked Yes8c332$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c38…3d15backed Yes31c323.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No68c317.81$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5316838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Yes50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e46…e394backed Yes53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes54c250$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9229862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No47c212.86$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes53c207.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1109154.9%50 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Yes32c201.04$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.192937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes52c179.9$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.559045.6%41 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No54c164.75$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5251139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No77c156.84$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.336349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed No64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.253675%27 W · 9 L+6.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3080…f041backed No64c139.72$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes52c134.61$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes54c120.37$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656653%35 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Yes53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.64553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67a1…75abbacked Yes57c114.57$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652556%14 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c8…bc51backed Yes53c109.62$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked No48c104.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.274845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed No52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.154100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+110.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Yes53c94.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508042.5%34 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011955.5%66 W · 53 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes51c88.14$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9540549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf270…6015backed No46c87.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.273452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Yes22c86.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-73.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed No48c86.25$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.855752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5329…e2f3backed No64c85.94$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.941070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes27c77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.795740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes52c73.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3811547.8%55 W · 60 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5649…99adbacked Yes53c69.21$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.683043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3541…644bbacked Yes53c66.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-48.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No46c65.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6113754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x25c0…c187backed No48c65.89$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.221250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked No48c64.53$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.561764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No47c61.58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6446047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked No49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.61020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-62.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47ce…2414backed Yes54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe831…e4dabacked Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010242.2%43 W · 59 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2713350.4%67 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Yes27c48.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes51c47.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3237250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9e…10bebacked Yes53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256058.3%35 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes53c46.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255532.7%18 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f0a…a693backed Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4eb8…a474backed Yes54c46.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.871566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+42.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes54c44.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248160.5%49 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd212…0efdbacked No48c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No48c40.12$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7249850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.29240.2%37 W · 55 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x157a…e4a3backed Yes53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209851%50 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Yes53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes39c37.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.598937.1%33 W · 56 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x96d4…994cbacked Yes51c37.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x492b…fa70backed No49c36.14$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.43540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed No48c33.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.296851.5%35 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e31…a753backed Yes47c32.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152152.4%11 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xff6b…c91abacked No63c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.841346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd1…1829backed Yes50c31.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c9f…d2d5backed Yes53c31.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.65633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed No64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1e2…66e2backed Yes48c31.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.992263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed No47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.91553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fcb…4381backed Yes52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152532%8 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x422e…5ad7backed Yes52c28.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed No48c27.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.426245.2%28 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4683…683fbacked Yes53c26.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6e…70ffbacked Yes53c26.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Yes45c23.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89d3…59a6backed Yes53c21.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2394…9312backed Yes53c20.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d46…1a6bbacked No51c19.61$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x774b…afe3backed Yes54c18.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.53759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.