Serie A · resolved market
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x147bc1908f56332fe6c3df0450756e52f78f2962c07bd0401b65c17818ab9c41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pisa SCof ACF Fiorentina, Pisa SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pisa SC | 65c | 5,259$3,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.65 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed ACF Fiorentina | 24c | 4,404$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.96 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Pisa SC | 52c | 3,442$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.26 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked ACF Fiorentina | 37c | 2,375$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Pisa SC | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.18 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pisa SC | 65c | 1,361$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.76 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed ACF Fiorentina | 47c | 1,117$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pisa SC | 65c | 973.14$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.6 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked ACF Fiorentina | 29c | 863.21$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.77 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed ACF Fiorentina | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pisa SC | 65c | 780.69$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.34 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed ACF Fiorentina | 51c | 589.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed ACF Fiorentina | 34c | 563.84$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.7 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Pisa SC | 66c | 561.5$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.5 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked ACF Fiorentina | 43c | 549.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed ACF Fiorentina | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Pisa SC | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…8b4cbacked ACF Fiorentina | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Pisa SC | 67c | 428.36$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked ACF Fiorentina | 49c | 423.35$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.94 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Pisa SC | 68c | 384.94$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.49 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked ACF Fiorentina | 37c | 367.26$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.71 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked ACF Fiorentina | 35c | 344$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Pisa SC | 73c | 325.1$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed ACF Fiorentina | 29c | 300$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed ACF Fiorentina | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf425…be71backed ACF Fiorentina | 36c | 274.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pisa SC | 65c | 214.85$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed ACF Fiorentina | 54c | 199$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.46 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pisa SC | 52c | 180.76$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.13 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked ACF Fiorentina | 35c | 172$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed ACF Fiorentina | 33c | 169.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Pisa SC | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed ACF Fiorentina | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pisa SC | 60c | 128.84$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed ACF Fiorentina | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…31dcbacked ACF Fiorentina | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…6cefbacked ACF Fiorentina | 34c | 102.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…4f78backed ACF Fiorentina | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pisa SC | 60c | 98.86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ff…d7afbacked ACF Fiorentina | 60c | 94.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pisa SC | 64c | 93.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked ACF Fiorentina | 35c | 84.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Pisa SC | 65c | 84.42$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ACF Fiorentina | 36c | 78.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Pisa SC | 63c | 77.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Pisa SC | 66c | 77.09$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed ACF Fiorentina | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed ACF Fiorentina | 36c | 70.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Pisa SC | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…da0dbacked ACF Fiorentina | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed ACF Fiorentina | 43c | 51.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…c9ffbacked ACF Fiorentina | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked ACF Fiorentina | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed ACF Fiorentina | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Pisa SC | 63c | 38.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed ACF Fiorentina | 32c | 34.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Pisa SC | 67c | 31.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pisa SC | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Pisa SC | 66c | 28.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe24…b0acbacked ACF Fiorentina | 43c | 25.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c82…dca9backed Pisa SC | 52c | 22.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…27d6backed Pisa SC | 52c | 20.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…c91abacked ACF Fiorentina | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Pisa SC | 67c | 15.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)this page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.