TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe24…b0ac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST3444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked WHITEBIRD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.46
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+45.8%+$11.45
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.44
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.91
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+69.2%+$11.46
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.71
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.76
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+80.9%+$9.3
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.76
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+74.3%+$12.63
Counter-Strike: G2 vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Counter-Strike: G2 vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.02
Counter-Strike: G2 vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Tennis Championships: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+88.8%+$11.1
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Belinda Bencic vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.43
Delray Beach Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paulbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Rio Open: Jaime Faria vs Sebastian Baezbacked Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+121.3%+$24.27
Qatar Open: Zizou Bergs vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.42
Qatar Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Karen Khachanovbacked Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Paula Badosa vs Elina Svitolinabacked Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
Qatar Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Set 1 Winner: Badosa vs Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+190.6%+$33.97
Qatar Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Quentin Halysbacked Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+147.2%+$17.7
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Antonia Ruzic vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+76%+$15.19
Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs Brooksbybacked Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Magda Linettebacked Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+44.6%+$8.92
Qatar Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Juncheng Shangbacked Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Oeiras 2: Gabriela Knutson vs Ayana Aklibacked Akli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+36.2%+$5.44
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Belinda Bencic vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+68.2%+$10.24
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16.52
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.26
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+300%+$45
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.52
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.02
Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.78
All 14 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Famalicão vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+42.2%+$6.33
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+178.7%+$22.34
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Odense BK vs. FC København: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Eyüpspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+94.5%+$14.18
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14.31
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+124.3%+$24.86
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+194.1%+$38.82
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+91.8%+$11.02
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-57.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)backed ACF Fiorentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.86
Genoa CFC vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.24
Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+188%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+188%+$21.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$19.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.