TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$310,676
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$354,771

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,676 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Over50c200,000$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,00039249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under50c198,753$99,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,376.6421051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Over47c39,434$18,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,900.0322142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Under53c35,000$18,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,5502245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under51c7,153$3,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,64867041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under53c3,071$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.864548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Over49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53021251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under53c1,518$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.571,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under30c1,353$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.923,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked Under54c1,161$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62719834.8%69 W · 129 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9619…f503backed Under50c1,005$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Under54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5402152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Over46c990.16$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.691752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Under51c977.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50096545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Over49c965.2$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.258944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Over48c710.46$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.4420944%92 W · 117 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked Under45c647.67$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.984928.6%14 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-43%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under51c569.87$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.779548.4%46 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Over52c529.51$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.251,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Over47c522.84$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.972,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.23754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa097…8795backed Over50c504.64$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.6417347.4%82 W · 91 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2607149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under51c499.96$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9817954.2%97 W · 82 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over47c499.95$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.988158%47 W · 34 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under52c468.12$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.416444.5%73 W · 91 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x285a…0126backed Over49c409.99$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.113857.2%79 W · 59 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under46c371.41$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.421,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x355c…2c1cbacked Over49c348.98$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.985952.5%31 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b2…0fdfbacked Over65c302.07$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.072458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Over49c287.76$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.7610251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under50c272.84$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.427940.5%32 W · 47 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Over47c237.19$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7110053%53 W · 47 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa62d…fbbfbacked Under53c210.22$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3345162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x305f…ec5ebacked Over49c206.33$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0817462.1%108 W · 66 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under51c198.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4826336.5%96 W · 167 L-17.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked Over50c198.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.234742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c192.5$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.91,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003842.1%16 W · 22 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x68da…01cbbacked Under53c183.49$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked Over52c183.4$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8740655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe379…377cbacked Under55c182.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3d8…5d40backed Over49c179.73$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3477…ea61backed Over49c175.2$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.351770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd825…7d51backed Over49c173.94$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81d5…0967backed Over49c173.76$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed2…4e48backed Under53c170.64$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2830…bde6backed Under53c170.47$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over75c165.24$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4145956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3309…1c36backed Under53c145.47$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3910…0ec4backed Over49c142.49$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked Over57c140.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5960857.2%348 W · 260 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f4…b728backed Under39c129.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.93754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+32.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Over49c126.53$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.539260.9%56 W · 36 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d17…f8bfbacked Over49c114.35$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.32450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over47c111.49$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9820238.6%78 W · 124 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0418443.5%80 W · 104 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0498856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0367…74e4backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516467.2%43 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5541…f1e3backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1519150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce1c…1973backed Over52c90.96$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.66540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44e5…3c5abacked Over59c84.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.763458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02fa…547ebacked Under36c82.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302544%11 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3557…4596backed Over57c78.85$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Under52c76.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407254.2%39 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under22c75.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.876648.5%32 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under25c73.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.173,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Over58c69.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5224346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Over53c66.16$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.162240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b1a…16b7backed Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.221844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7325…0574backed Over50c60.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.154557.8%26 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0106…0e63backed Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.67546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23d3…eb28backed Under53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under38c59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.531,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x359a…01f0backed Under55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under51c52.61$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8387244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49b9…1059backed Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.021361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36fa…1125backed Under24c49.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x63dd…c279backed Over56c48.27$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.173100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc76e…caa5backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8218750.3%94 W · 93 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe81…0dbcbacked Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8305…7114backed Over49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42548%12 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Over49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.423354.5%127 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a26…05b7backed Over49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+127%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Over47c39.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.225143.8%110 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe24…b0acbacked Under51c39.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x399c…6191backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4616965.1%110 W · 59 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203650%18 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f2b…8775backed Over51c37.24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2428556.8%162 W · 123 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa05c…aa9bbacked Over46c34.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6521557.2%123 W · 92 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf676…d883backed Over50c32.69$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under50c32.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3515655.8%87 W · 69 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x177a…4c25backed Over48c31.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.377475.7%56 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7ef…67e5backed Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d4…0143backed Under51c30.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x120e…990abacked Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1510158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Over52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8520052.5%105 W · 95 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.