CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d613661c74188fae06c2bb05dca9923f0983f7c0608021880909bff849af997
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof PARIVISION, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb2a…7e01backed PARIVISION | 31c | 9,089$2,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8e…6975backed FUT Esports | 69c | 8,672$5,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…445dbacked PARIVISION | 26c | 5,772$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…99c3backed FUT Esports | 74c | 5,337$3,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec5…a376backed FUT Esports | 69c | 2,406$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b7…8f88backed FUT Esports | 74c | 2,274$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f24…5267backed PARIVISION | 31c | 2,199$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122f…cac0backed PARIVISION | 26c | 2,085$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a87…d9e5backed FUT Esports | 69c | 1,579$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…5c2bbacked FUT Esports | 74c | 1,521$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12c…cb6ebacked PARIVISION | 31c | 1,445$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…30c3backed PARIVISION | 26c | 1,384$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…b5ebbacked FUT Esports | 69c | 893.75$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b03…c8f6backed FUT Esports | 74c | 891.18$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…ced4backed PARIVISION | 31c | 826.93$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…135bbacked PARIVISION | 26c | 808.21$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed PARIVISION | 27c | 450.16$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.54 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…834ebacked FUT Esports | 72c | 417.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.38 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…8b34backed FUT Esports | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed PARIVISION | 28c | 290$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked PARIVISION | 28c | 280.09$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked FUT Esports | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed FUT Esports | 68c | 182.65$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.45 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00de…c8a2backed FUT Esports | 74c | 175.32$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2221…ec1bbacked PARIVISION | 32c | 157.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54da…5ea0backed FUT Esports | 69c | 150.74$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1c…d074backed PARIVISION | 26c | 149.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b57…bfa3backed PARIVISION | 31c | 141.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed PARIVISION | 29c | 55.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed PARIVISION | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed PARIVISION | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked PARIVISION | 32c | 32.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed PARIVISION | 32c | 31.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ab…20edbacked FUT Esports | 79c | 29.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FUT Esports | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StagePARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION - Map 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.