TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof FUT Esports, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$435,215
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$467,322

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $435,215 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1eb0…d25bbacked FUT Esports28c29,243$8,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,260.7127133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked PARIVISION62c20,585$12,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,903.983,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed FUT Esports16c20,523$3,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,227.9682143%353 W · 468 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION58c19,210$11,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,982.1338546.2%178 W · 207 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked FUT Esports30c15,995$4,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.1883652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked PARIVISION59c14,277$8,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,922.7521251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked FUT Esports41c13,788$5,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,593.5960540%242 W · 363 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed FUT Esports36c11,950$4,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,336.341,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed PARIVISION52c11,379$5,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,484.224,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed FUT Esports31c11,192$3,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,513.8912454%67 W · 57 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed FUT Esports41c9,345$3,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,832.3533043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked PARIVISION56c7,897$4,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,451.583,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed PARIVISION58c6,977$4,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,964.7472453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked FUT Esports72c5,899$4,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,272.4613065.4%85 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c8c…d09dbacked FUT Esports42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.983246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked FUT Esports32c4,738$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.551,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9679…9315backed PARIVISION66c4,533$2,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.868053.8%43 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed FUT Esports49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9607940.5%32 W · 47 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed FUT Esports1c4,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed FUT Esports24c3,707$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.0611547%54 W · 61 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked PARIVISION61c3,644$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.5376657.8%443 W · 323 L+3.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked PARIVISION45c3,393$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.2822927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed FUT Esports65c3,103$2,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,014.141,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked PARIVISION58c2,822$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.22,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed FUT Esports17c2,631$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45096945.6%442 W · 527 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked FUT Esports34c2,368$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.374928.6%14 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-43%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FUT Esports37c2,036$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.081,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked PARIVISION59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82022550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2a6…9837backed FUT Esports32c1,990$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.714643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed FUT Esports26c1,951$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.121,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FUT Esports42c1,709$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.743,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed PARIVISION62c1,700$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.0822554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked FUT Esports59c1,625$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.6141069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FUT Esports31c1,446$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.286,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FUT Esports18c1,386$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.117,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7c2…190bbacked FUT Esports35c1,306$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.156643.9%29 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed FUT Esports18c1,298$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.1422358.7%131 W · 92 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed PARIVISION38c1,250$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7751,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed PARIVISION50c1,174$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.3724944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07fe…8f90backed FUT Esports30c1,108$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.212347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+125.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe913…d360backed PARIVISION58c1,016$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.262035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked FUT Esports44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44061228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2207…c55dbacked FUT Esports1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…89ecbacked FUT Esports1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed FUT Esports39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39055736.3%202 W · 355 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed FUT Esports38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38058651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04f5…cff5backed FUT Esports1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33fd…723cbacked FUT Esports1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eab…c816backed FUT Esports1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x332e…c802backed FUT Esports1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed FUT Esports36c987.89$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.5521528.8%62 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION65c967.29$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.724,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f0…5191backed FUT Esports67c931.84$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6262763%17 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed PARIVISION53c900.45$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.5327950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2590…e38ebacked FUT Esports4c900$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36263.8%1 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-80.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked FUT Esports17c892.93$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+37.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2701…7d87backed FUT Esports48c888.17$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed FUT Esports48c850$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.7827348.4%132 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed FUT Esports19c850$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.521051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed PARIVISION53c849.75$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.383537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked FUT Esports41c829.85$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.2420238.6%78 W · 124 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed FUT Esports12c814.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked FUT Esports42c800$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3369349.5%46 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed FUT Esports50c749.36$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.965,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked PARIVISION48c746.22$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.242,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked FUT Esports17c702.01$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0260147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed FUT Esports48c691.77$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3322657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdaf…02e6backed FUT Esports38c684.13$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.71154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed FUT Esports44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked FUT Esports44c658.98$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9566162.6%414 W · 247 L+29.2wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked PARIVISION62c648.76$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.769548.4%46 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb43b…f637backed PARIVISION51c647.34$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.341266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed FUT Esports50c600$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30239851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked FUT Esports43c585.88$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.7142050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c6…17c0backed FUT Esports19c577.64$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick22cpaid-16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PARIVISION57c576.85$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.445,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8389…db1bbacked PARIVISION49c564.33$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.787636.8%28 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b1…072cbacked FUT Esports28c559.86$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.851346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+49.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed FUT Esports49c558.08$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.4616947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed FUT Esports37c541.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.996038.3%23 W · 37 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked FUT Esports13c533.35$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.899941.4%41 W · 58 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf98c…bf06backed PARIVISION58c511.9$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa1…fd2dbacked FUT Esports42c511.9$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked FUT Esports59c505.93$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.539944.1%176 W · 223 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e53…eaebbacked FUT Esports39c502.69$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.876045%27 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed PARIVISION59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20555845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e80…09b8backed FUT Esports56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3f9…d587backed FUT Esports20c500$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9835033.4%117 W · 233 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed FUT Esports52c499.85$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26024346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4013…406bbacked PARIVISION54c494$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.1815063.3%95 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad6…a93cbacked PARIVISION79c489.25$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.743647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6818…8f14backed FUT Esports23c480.8$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9318037.8%68 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked PARIVISION63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1926345.2%119 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed PARIVISION64c468.06$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7317647.7%84 W · 92 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed PARIVISION59c468.03$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.711643.1%50 W · 66 L-13.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9619…f503backed PARIVISION57c467$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.81520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7218…8b34backed PARIVISION66c455.08$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.089268.5%63 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed FUT Esports44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008537.6%32 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed FUT Esports40c447.1$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18015249.3%75 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked FUT Esports45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018250%91 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.