TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa5b1…072c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
27
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+49.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$2,269.85
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+229.7%+$2,090
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+83.5%+$482.25
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,055Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+99.1%+$1,045
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$144.95
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$157.85
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+185.7%+$487.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+284.6%+$370
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+456.8%+$631.59
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$248.87
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$467.57
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,046Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,004.5
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,760Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+96.2%+$3,617.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$460
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Girona FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+100%+$3,500
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Delray Beach Open: Zachary Svajda vs Frances Tiafoebacked Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$185
Rio Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderibacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+72.4%+$168
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+212.5%+$2,380
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$741Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$740.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,057.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.