TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,042
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,663

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,042 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes21c4,005$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.2990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No78c4,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.9924147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No78c3,300$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7264564.4%29 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No52c2,833$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.8983939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes54c2,702$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.6212553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes34c2,017$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.898461.9%52 W · 32 L+14.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa5b1…072cbacked Yes23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No75c1,948$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.833458.8%20 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes17c1,857$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.6322753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No70c1,378$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.2826930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5103414.7%5 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-59.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Yes23c999.96$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.993534.3%12 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+76.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes18c930$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.388940.4%36 W · 53 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes22c919.07$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.19640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a32…9875backed No58c902.07$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.721323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-62.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes7c857.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017537.1%65 W · 110 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed No5c714.74$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6793641.7%15 W · 21 L+8.6wins+0.24per pick18cpaid+156.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes14c699.58$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9419130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes11c696.16$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2949057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No78c672.8$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.192254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes36c627.95$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.8115150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011740.2%47 W · 70 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No78c596.14$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.152,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes23c545.56$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12423727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes22c504$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2650243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Yes12c499.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607719.5%15 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes22c480$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10415940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b6…8b4cbacked Yes24c475$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1147030%21 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No80c450.76$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.541,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes21c443.95$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.234126.8%11 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1104…39fabacked Yes23c396.33$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-39.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No77c323.35$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.761,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes7c308.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.111,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes60c286.53$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.654748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No64c285.03$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5115444.8%69 W · 85 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No78c282$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7633734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No71c278.85$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8561657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No62c251.15$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9460832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No78c250$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5542458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed No78c250$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554580%36 W · 9 L+6.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+27%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No78c233.87$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4583650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes22c230.45$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.79840.8%40 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505940.7%24 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c34…dfafbacked Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+89.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa03f…a7dabacked Yes23c218.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+41.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No73c208$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0711947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008143.2%35 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed No77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ea…6e4ebacked Yes9c199$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.911533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Yes55c192.66$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.321637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f4b…b015backed No78c192.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.311560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No78c189$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6312757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No78c156$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3235148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes23c150$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.512944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7646…b2a1backed Yes21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504663%29 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+35.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No77c138.54$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8642851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Yes59c131.63$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.22653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes16c128.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206526.2%17 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1be…2cc3backed No78c128.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed No78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2113668.4%93 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef65…f32fbacked No79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.582755.6%15 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed No79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.585255.8%29 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed No79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.582552%13 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x471a…6bf0backed Yes14c121.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.07560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x807d…76dcbacked No78c117$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.34475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205119.6%10 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdaa…eb5cbacked Yes12c108.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes22c107.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242030%6 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No78c104.94$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.099554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012538.4%48 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224153.7%22 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+51.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105427.8%15 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223016.7%5 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-52.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes15c99.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510634%36 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d4…af03backed No36c99.98$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Yes22c95.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212035%7 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes20c95.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0521354.5%116 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes22c95.21$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.957135.2%25 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x819f…70bcbacked Yes22c90$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes16c88.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1414333.6%48 W · 95 L+11.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x501d…52e2backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201625%4 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20429.5%4 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-63.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f97…eaa2backed Yes22c69.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked No78c68.5$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.075650%28 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.132145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes20c60.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.051612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes22c59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9826853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Yes29c52.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156336.5%23 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60fb…08aabacked Yes19c51.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed No80c51$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.23265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1130956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28b8…16fcbacked Yes34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed No75c43.53$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.882657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed No78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.83868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No78c38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3628558.2%166 W · 119 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ce0…2b8abacked Yes60c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216250%31 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.948153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85e9…4498backed No77c27.27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.274100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc09…fe55backed Yes65c26.18$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.