TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$625,598
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$598,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $625,598 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 443 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x916f…53babacked No50c145,756$72,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,335.582969%20 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+39.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0a55…f9bebacked Yes51c100,086$50,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,819.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes50c62,533$31,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,4562634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes51c40,748$20,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,815.6350243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes15c40,269$6,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,040.3310438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No53c34,988$18,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,278.690843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No49c18,888$9,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,632.886127.9%17 W · 44 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No62c15,696$9,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,032.023,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No48c12,330$5,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,386.791,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked No50c11,608$5,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,804560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd303…b09bbacked No47c11,450$5,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,013.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No49c10,714$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,464.1450949.5%252 W · 257 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No50c10,400$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2005149%25 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked No50c10,400$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2003943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0005442.6%23 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.913748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes51c8,525$4,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,375.779640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No50c8,346$4,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,158.64,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes51c8,200$4,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,18215044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed No49c7,500$3,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,824.981952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No49c7,500$3,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,824.971833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes51c7,100$3,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,62110848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Yes50c6,666$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3333145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c95…8a0bbacked Yes51c6,659$3,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,396.21241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.25per pick66cpaid-40%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd26b…3ad5backed Yes51c5,824$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,969.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes45c5,421$2,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,423.5522753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes52c4,863$2,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,509.2312236.1%44 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9663…9310backed Yes53c4,747$2,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,509.66520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-62.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7c2…722ebacked No49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+39.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.965742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.9515952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Yes9c3,725$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.321020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No51c3,598$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.191,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Yes32c3,571$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.122161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick40cpaid+75.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes11c3,538$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.0961032.3%197 W · 413 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No49c3,333$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.837443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Yes51c3,181$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.31616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick59cpaid-71.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No49c3,074$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.713941%16 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.946640.9%27 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Yes51c2,941$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-46.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No49c2,925$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.753432.4%11 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed No64c2,882$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.412958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No50c2,841$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.374959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes17c2,674$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.9526930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes50c2,506$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.7764046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2508457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No49c2,459$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.982,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Yes52c2,392$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2442524%6 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No48c2,200$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.6442851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No50c2,040$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0202152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes49c2,034$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00120843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No14c1,693$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.75538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes41c1,640$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.4521641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes36c1,638$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58823727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes50c1,635$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.535148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No21c1,609$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.94344.2%19 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No49c1,545$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.4583650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes46c1,544$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.4415246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed No49c1,415$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.818100%8 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+57.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes51c1,373$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes39c1,279$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.992240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes51c1,210$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.222335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5104461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5205563.6%35 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5309656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb22a…8e6cbacked Yes51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+87%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3908142%34 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76f6…21bebacked Yes52c966.28$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002138.1%8 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-34.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes21c961.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No48c952.84$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.0992254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b46…188ebacked Yes51c950.22$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.232222.7%5 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-54.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No31c933.59$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.1819662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x546c…4d99backed Yes51c907.84$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e87…c31fbacked Yes51c902.15$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.630%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes62c867.02$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.5514067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes41c801$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.594235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0abd…7207backed No13c800$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001346.2%6 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.34per pick12cpaid+330.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes35c778$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.8411947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked Yes52c769.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed No44c765.46$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.453946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No48c700$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3622846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Yes51c686.27$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x300c…d650backed Yes52c673.08$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+47.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes79c653.66$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.2149057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed No49c606.59$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.361435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Yes51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Yes51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes51c570.59$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29149447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67a1…75abbacked Yes51c539.22$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2752450%12 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23de…05c1backed Yes37c536.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002737%10 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Yes51c517.64$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2646756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de0…dacebacked No13c510.78$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.841637.5%6 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.26per pick11cpaid+262.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked No46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2703171%22 W · 9 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc550…8e46backed Yes50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9519130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No48c499.94$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9712954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.