TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,453

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,300 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdf08…dea4backed No23c2,875$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.94911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-82.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked No57c1,706$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.1322753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes26c1,422$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.731,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No74c1,298$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.2550243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes73c1,175$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.9511947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes65c1,003$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.231,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes48c988.47$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.8215150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes73c898.21$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4326930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes28c714.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.2915446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes27c708.74$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.3838729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No73c702.74$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5134463.6%28 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c672.18$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.542,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes50c666$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3363033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes46c600.32$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.9360832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked No24c530.55$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.037024.3%17 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c508.33$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.373,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No68c500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3408143.2%35 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Yes15c499.98$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.981540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+79.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No63c484.91$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.6290843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No30c475.67$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.74235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No50c473.23$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.6214067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.442138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes18c435.18$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.8515044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1208245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No35c387.32$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7735145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e14…1511backed Yes58c374.69$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.371546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes27c365.96$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.1542851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c8…f2d8backed Yes67c361.61$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.33650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No74c335.14$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2481668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No35c331.37$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.668940.4%36 W · 53 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5380…ddb2backed Yes76c328.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.181573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick72cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes70c327.23$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.991,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c322.85$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.5692254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No72c319$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.2415246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes50c316.08$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.044837.5%18 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01a…bf29backed Yes63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes49c296$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.664663%29 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+35.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Yes66c257.58$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.581090%9 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick71cpaid+27.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked No79c256$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.3312944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd42…8895backed Yes16c250$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick16cpaid+389.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf5a…bf0abacked Yes65c249.97$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.721258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5eb…93bfbacked Yes69c240$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.42161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0abd…7207backed No9c237.65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.91346.2%6 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.34per pick12cpaid+330.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Yes75c234.23$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.431947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde3…8e1dbacked Yes28c221.43$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.43560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed Yes64c220$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.21850%9 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14442458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ea…6e4ebacked No59c196.4$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.881533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No30c189.95$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3926641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No26c185.4$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.665152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa03f…a7dabacked Yes28c179.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.47650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+41.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes47c171.54$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.545253.8%28 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No73c167.69$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4150149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No44c148.54$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.984,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe906…d1b6backed Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…fb20backed Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.893100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+94.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No73c136$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.282181%17 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x819f…70bcbacked Yes27c129$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.171442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No73c128.08$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.514574.5%108 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfab4…564fbacked Yes71c113.7$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.972050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbaa…a58abacked Yes69c111.18$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.181560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Yes59c109.16$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.563234.4%11 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Yes28c95.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.792035%7 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa287…b615backed No47c94.64$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No68c94.49$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.238672.1%62 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed No47c94.22$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.391154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No30c90$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1919247.4%91 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes71c86.13$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1161657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No73c82.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.259158.2%53 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes20c80$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6412538.4%48 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes26c79.81$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.064126.8%11 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes64c78.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.615444.8%69 W · 85 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes27c78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9483650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No29c74.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7217044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes28c74.06$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.327135.2%25 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No41c72.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9257252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.433528.6%10 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x531a…8681backed Yes25c66.66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.162634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Yes39c66.62$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.64425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes28c62.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4516341.1%67 W · 96 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a76…7314backed Yes28c61.28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8c…18abbacked Yes28c60.2$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.34650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed1…b514backed Yes69c58.06$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes28c53.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.576222.6%14 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x386b…6d36backed No36c53.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.181070%7 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+102.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No38c51.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4921354.5%116 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes30c50.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1479133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.520353.7%109 W · 94 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed Yes27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.510754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ae…5833backed No20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.530956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked Yes27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.54151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e49…fb01backed No30c49.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.94757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+69.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No78c47.52$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8713969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes70c46.01$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.751,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed No73c44.55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.561637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No74c44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.569840.8%40 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda7f…88dbbacked Yes72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No73c41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9328558.2%166 W · 119 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.