TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5380…ddb2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Earnings at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick72cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$38.22
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$34.12
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.94
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.12
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$114.69
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+31.3%+$78.18
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37%+$73.97
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+39.9%+$79.84
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick64cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.7
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will France win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.68
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32.53
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.04
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.39
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$25.22
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+735%+$147
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.05
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.09
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.76
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.1%+$32.46
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37.2%+$37.19
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$13.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37.8%+$47.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$17.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$4.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coca-Cola say "Protein" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.