Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb15f3f9f8fb30ac2646f8962231e9f9998f7146ae5cfdc9813b2ccaf55d762fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,561,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,242,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,561,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb5…c494backed Yes | 77c | 1,637,618$1,268,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268,050.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 23c | 300,000$68,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231,499.89 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26c…88cfbacked No | 23c | 243,442$55,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188,349.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 22c | 223,500$49,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174,329.95 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 23c | 190,000$43,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146,299.95 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 23c | 150,000$34,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,749.97 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed No | 23c | 150,000$34,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,499.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +113%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 22c | 128,205$28,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,999.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 23c | 100,978$23,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,814.52 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 89,807$38,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,518.24 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 78c | 86,110$67,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,226.39 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 22c | 56,918$12,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,396.04 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 21c | 41,500$8,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,784.61 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 23c | 38,500$8,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,771.81 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 30,337$5,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,381.2 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 36c | 28,159$10,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,909.75 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 23c | 26,010$5,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,027.59 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed No | 22c | 25,800$5,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,124 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes | 56c | 23,319$12,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,984.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 22c | 21,984$4,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,171.9 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Yes | 36c | 20,000$7,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,258.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 32c | 19,183$6,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,080.76 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 23c | 19,145$4,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,733.41 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 20c | 18,954$3,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,163.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +181.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 31c | 18,542$5,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,720.93 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed No | 67c | 17,685$11,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,846.8 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked No | 68c | 17,146$11,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,442.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes | 1c | 16,944$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.14 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 22c | 16,815$3,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,115.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Yes | 2c | 16,368$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 47c | 14,493$6,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,681.19 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…0f7ebacked No | 22c | 14,272$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,132.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 78c | 14,158$11,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,084.87 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 22c | 13,636$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,636.35 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed No | 21c | 12,828$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,134.18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 22c | 10,120$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,893.6 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 10c | 10,053$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.21 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 22c | 9,600$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,487.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 62c | 9,400$5,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,845 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 42c | 8,709$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,029.32 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 21c | 8,485$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,704.3 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Yes | 54c | 8,458$4,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,580.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked No | 67c | 7,997$5,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,638.91 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Yes | 78c | 7,991$6,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,272.7 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,916$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…68f0backed Yes | 80c | 7,782$6,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,190.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 21c | 7,777$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,143.66 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1d…3ca2backed Yes | 0c | 7,489$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Yes | 74c | 7,472$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed No | 23c | 7,391$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,691.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed No | 61c | 7,317$4,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 37c | 7,299$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,633.16 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…0b69backed Yes | 76c | 7,136$5,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,429.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 24c | 6,876$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,225.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 20c | 6,542$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,233.69 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9c…4695backed Yes | 59c | 6,509$3,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,864.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Yes | 0c | 6,348$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 79c | 6,329$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 61c | 6,285$3,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,846.25 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eed…64c2backed Yes | 80c | 6,250$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 47c | 6,056$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.81 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Yes | 79c | 5,650$4,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,463.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4028…5f4abacked Yes | 72c | 5,630$4,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,054 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 41c | 5,318$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140.85 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 79c | 5,263$4,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,177.76 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed No | 23c | 5,239$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,051.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536a…d21dbacked No | 22c | 5,160$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,024.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 38cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb45…74dfbacked Yes | 79c | 5,140$4,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…f586backed Yes | 78c | 5,130$4,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Yes | 77c | 5,065$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…c875backed Yes | 66c | 5,003$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes | 80c | 4,940$3,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,952 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 42c | 4,868$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.56 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 80c | 4,768$3,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,814.19 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x078e…3ebdbacked Yes | 78c | 4,762$3,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,736.81 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 22c | 4,545$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,545.1 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 23c | 4,500$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.18 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc8backed Yes | 56c | 4,449$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 14c | 4,199$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.85 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…74adbacked Yes | 78c | 4,140$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,229.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Yes | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…bb92backed Yes | 79c | 4,000$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 51c | 4,000$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Yes | 79c | 3,927$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 17c | 3,880$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Yes | 53c | 3,742$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7587…3afebacked Yes | 77c | 3,681$2,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,827.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 32c | 3,607$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.8 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 22c | 3,417$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.12 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes | 58c | 3,259$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Yes | 77c | 3,247$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8682…15a9backed Yes | 57c | 3,233$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.39 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 78c | 3,215$2,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,507.44 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8562…ad77backed Yes | 61c | 3,200$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 66c | 3,169$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.59 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed No | 23c | 3,061$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.02 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a23…8ef9backed Yes | 58c | 3,009$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +285.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 73c | 2,986$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 79c | 2,914$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.