Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53d5e38142fa3def4cd7a27f4bb16000edba33bb7297f6bfdb253c7d129e03be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $218,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 21,183$14,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,420.56 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 32c | 16,201$5,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,972.13 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 71c | 8,239$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850.09 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 27c | 6,704$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,884.26 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 73c | 5,135$3,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,728.17 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Yes | 14c | 4,000$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,421.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +130.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 25c | 3,917$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.58 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 13c | 3,870$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,367.28 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 26c | 3,816$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,823.97 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 28c | 2,862$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 14c | 2,381$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.6 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 36c | 2,111$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.04 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 79c | 2,063$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.77 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Yes | 31c | 2,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 68c | 1,817$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.63 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Yes | 29c | 1,647$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 79c | 1,538$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.1 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7587…3afebacked Yes | 27c | 1,481$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 1,448$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.77 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 1,305$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.86 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Yes | 31c | 1,290$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 75c | 1,262$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.28 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 76c | 1,251$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.77 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 77c | 1,191$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.08 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x174f…2dabbacked Yes | 27c | 987.96$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 73c | 973.02$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.78 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 13c | 924.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.73 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed No | 71c | 844.25$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 36c | 837.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.5 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 18c | 800$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…457bbacked Yes | 19c | 779.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes | 14c | 715$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.9 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 14c | 700$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 42c | 689.09$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.45 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 23c | 655.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.59 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 38c | 653.49$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.49 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes | 14c | 642.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 14cpaid | +315.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 36c | 625$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…420abacked Yes | 26c | 615.38$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78fc…8c88backed No | 16c | 601.25$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes | 19c | 600$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.37per pick | 26cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 76c | 586$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.28 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed Yes | 31c | 519.41$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…6510backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 10c | 490.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.01 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed Yes | 22c | 466$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 78c | 429.21$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.06 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Yes | 26c | 419.23$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…8fb9backed Yes | 10c | 411.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0c…ba73backed Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…9997backed Yes | 23c | 338$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 19c | 337$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.62 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 19c | 327.42$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.56 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 22c | 324.88$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…ce77backed No | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…37acbacked No | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…fa1abacked No | 19c | 299.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Yes | 24c | 291.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecab…e8d4backed Yes | 15c | 285.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +321.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 23c | 265.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +78%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 74c | 250$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…7b41backed Yes | 26c | 247.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 24c | 246.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.78 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66d4…fe2dbacked Yes | 26c | 236$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…9727backed Yes | 26c | 219.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5c…d35cbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 13c | 217$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.79 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 23c | 216.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.06 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Yes | 27c | 203.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…d3bbbacked No | 74c | 199.44$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 31c | 196.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.94 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…4b19backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…05a3backed Yes | 12c | 189.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 20c | 177.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.68 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.47 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4d…eff0backed Yes | 26c | 174.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…1e3abacked Yes | 32c | 171.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 68c | 170.52$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.57 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Yes | 33c | 168.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x903e…2829backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…5f3bbacked Yes | 27c | 166.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa23…7afabacked Yes | 14c | 164.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…fec7backed No | 77c | 158.74$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 32c | 154.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.85 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Yes | 23c | 150$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 13c | 148.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…2dd4backed Yes | 24c | 145.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +180.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…69c8backed Yes | 26c | 136.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd2…f9aebacked Yes | 30c | 135.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…4532backed Yes | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…c83ebacked Yes | 22c | 131.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.