TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc011…0a62

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
794
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Dota2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT44350.8%225 W · 218 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 443 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$183.15
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$335
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.13
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$133.75
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.9%+$120.32
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$47.67
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.77
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$130
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.58
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$37.69
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 443 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT16354%88 W · 75 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 163 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+521.5%+$521.46
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$129.49
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$60.77
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$83.53
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$83.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$202
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$60.09
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.11
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.4
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.99
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+102.1%+$428.69
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$83.29
Showing 25 of 163 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10543.8%46 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.2
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+923.4%+$313.96
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$308.16
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$309
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$186.6
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$51.82
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$11.6
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.55
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$173.93
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$259
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.06
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$150.79
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.99
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.36
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+194.9%+$157.88
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.7
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.01
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+166.3%+$241.21
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$26.05
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.69
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$368
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$252
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.25
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.5
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+60%+$75
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$98.38
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$50.91
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Abacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$170.66
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$353.98
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+35.1%+$39.09
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$14.31
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+170%+$297.41
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$63.16
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.64
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$53.64
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-54.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weatherlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-68.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-54.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+39.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$721Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+27.9%+$201.09
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+241.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+241.3%+$170.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$27.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.