Token Launches · resolved market
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a68a7a12600327a3c388d7ad4d9a0bfcdf60870811427fcc01fab0c4410824c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $591,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $681,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $591,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 616 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5676…bec3backed No | 52c | 31,875$16,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,575 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…c245backed Yes | 48c | 31,875$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,575 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x247b…6610backed No | 6c | 12,354$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.42 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c3…920ebacked Yes | 75c | 12,202$9,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2aa…c9a0backed No | 20c | 10,664$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…e85cbacked Yes | 70c | 10,109$7,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 78c | 9,011$7,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.41 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +101%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…7049backed No | 0c | 9,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…70aabacked No | 25c | 8,001$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…129abacked No | 5c | 7,000$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…28b1backed No | 18c | 5,728$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +471.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3d…5574backed No | 27c | 5,478$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +176.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 14c | 4,764$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.02 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…9938backed Yes | 73c | 4,379$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…18f4backed No | 20c | 4,020$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.79 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 3c | 3,930$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.88 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ed…871cbacked No | 27c | 3,720$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9781…bc2abacked Yes | 74c | 3,547$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…920cbacked Yes | 65c | 3,465$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf985…d7bcbacked Yes | 75c | 3,336$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…0cafbacked No | 27c | 3,220$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 16c | 3,199$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.71 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05d1…2bb3backed No | 27c | 3,168$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.73 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…c7b4backed No | 10c | 3,134$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 18c | 3,104$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.9 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 6c | 3,011$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.33 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d62…0a41backed No | 29c | 2,898$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797a…7924backed No | 27c | 2,832$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.01 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…7e27backed No | 18c | 2,799$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed No | 33c | 2,538$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.9 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…2033backed No | 10c | 2,515$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3897…8f04backed Yes | 77c | 2,493$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9c…3d1bbacked No | 25c | 2,457$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4c…1f2ebacked No | 5c | 2,442$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2607…c2cabacked No | 33c | 2,402$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…29c6backed Yes | 72c | 2,342$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.89 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 11c | 2,323$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.92 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc0…3bd1backed Yes | 75c | 2,230$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…7e9abacked No | 1c | 2,189$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…0b6dbacked No | 32c | 2,158$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…bedcbacked No | 10c | 2,080$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…abbabacked No | 18c | 2,012$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6e…0cf9backed No | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee2f…f576backed No | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked No | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x723a…639abacked No | 31c | 1,958$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa0…253cbacked Yes | 74c | 1,948$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…ba38backed No | 16c | 1,941$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…8cfebacked No | 9c | 1,930$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7119…7132backed No | 9c | 1,920$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ac…c2aabacked No | 8c | 1,869$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.81 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 1,838$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 28c | 1,812$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.48 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +11.3wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 3c | 1,743$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…af99backed No | 8c | 1,721$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.97 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54d…5fb0backed Yes | 58c | 1,716$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7220…975abacked Yes | 76c | 1,630$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…389ebacked No | 37c | 1,599$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f49…91ccbacked Yes | 56c | 1,547$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeede…4287backed No | 14c | 1,518$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcce8…efdfbacked Yes | 80c | 1,508$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…98a6backed Yes | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a6…762ebacked No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9910…f830backed Yes | 71c | 1,493$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6e…669dbacked No | 7c | 1,446$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Yes | 72c | 1,400$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…1ff2backed Yes | 80c | 1,384$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 69c | 1,380$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.59 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…c5adbacked No | 11c | 1,360$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed51…eb3bbacked No | 28c | 1,339$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…4af9backed No | 6c | 1,326$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd977…bc2dbacked Yes | 72c | 1,311$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…fbc7backed No | 22c | 1,288$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.56 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e22…19cebacked Yes | 71c | 1,261$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad5d…67b1backed No | 2c | 1,250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 33cpaid | +190.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed Yes | 78c | 1,235$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.96 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd1…9249backed No | 25c | 1,214$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.11 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed No | 24c | 1,211$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.24 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…1e3fbacked No | 20c | 1,200$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…0a63backed No | 28c | 1,185$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…54cdbacked No | 21c | 1,165$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed No | 3c | 1,150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fef…ddb1backed No | 1c | 1,092$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…ff4bbacked No | 23c | 1,080$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e6…ea33backed Yes | 60c | 1,070$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…cb00backed No | 5c | 1,063$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…6d39backed Yes | 74c | 1,055$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.43 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -61%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…071ebacked No | 22c | 1,052$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.84 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…f998backed No | 22c | 1,042$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9190…7cd9backed No | 1c | 1,020$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…5cb2backed No | 28c | 1,016$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3981…f906backed Yes | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c1…d727backed Yes | 69c | 989.99$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe511…55f3backed No | 42c | 979.24$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.15 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…3ec7backed No | 32c | 976.18$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…69d3backed No | 13c | 962.49$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 68c | 959.98$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.89 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked No | 11c | 958.61$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.19 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…c2acbacked Yes | 59c | 936.31$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…230dbacked No | 28c | 930.45$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?this page
- Aleo airdrop in Q3 2025?No won
- Astaria airdrop in Q3 2025?No won
- Avail airdrop in Q3 2025?No won
- Base airdrop in Q3 2025?No won
- Farcaster airdrop in Q3 2025?No won
- Jumper airdrop in Q3 2025?No won
- MetaMask airdrop in Q3 2025?No won
- PartyDAO airdrop in Q3 2025?No won
- Pump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025?No won
- Rabby airdrop in Q3 2025?No won
- Rainbow airdrop in Q3 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.