Rabby airdrop in Q3 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x613b71b52a642d0a902ce5d6871b09d7d620adc4c3e3604bf48c606d91d61a7f

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 1, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $46,025
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $46,337

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,025 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x07d4…8991backed Yes	2c	9,180$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.14	62	6.5%4 W · 58 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-76.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	0c	9,170$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.89	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6faf…6a86backed Yes	1c	2,275$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.75	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4273…19d8backed Yes	2c	1,122$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	50	26%13 W · 37 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9540…7f01backed Yes	5c	942.77$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	2c	905.02$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.06	333	29.7%99 W · 234 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe206…b9f3backed Yes	5c	839.7$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.47	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-3.8wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Yes	3c	539.61$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.74	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes	6c	449.28$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.27	76	21.1%16 W · 60 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a26…8acbbacked Yes	6c	416.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	+4.6wins	+0.10per pick	29cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ae1…61fbbacked Yes	5c	364.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	4c	353.23$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.09	62	27.4%17 W · 45 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbdba…3e7abacked Yes	6c	351.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	28cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc456…8996backed Yes	5c	299.98$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	195	43.1%84 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Yes	10c	288.8$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.51	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+43%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a2b…f887backed Yes	5c	274.42$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e65…7bc1backed No	78c	19.23$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.23	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85e3…74afbacked No	70c	17.14$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.14	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Rabby airdrop in Q3 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event