TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x240d…1ff2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT6445.3%29 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.55
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$99.22
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.39
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$53.76
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$86.64
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$217
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.82
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.36
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.16
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.74
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$66.44
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.36
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Pakistan Super League: Quetta Gladiators vs Hyderabad Kingsmenbacked Hyderabad Kingsmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Pakistan Super League: Quetta Gladiators vs Karachi Kingsbacked Quetta Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$764.97
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$200.14
National Cricket League, Women: South Australian Scorpions vs New South Wales Breakersbacked South Australian Scorpions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$110
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka, Women: West Indies vs Sri Lankabacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$642Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+52.3%+$336.21
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealandbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.19
T20 World Cup: West Indies vs South Africabacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100.31
ODI Series Australia vs India, Women: Australia vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Englandbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$451.34
T20 Asia Cup Rising Stars, Women: Bangladesh A vs India Abacked Bangladesh A · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100.23
T20 Series Australia vs. India, Women: Australia vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+96.3%+$96.27
T20 World Cup: India vs Netherlands (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Kolkata Knight Riders vs. Chennai Super Kingsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$259.77
Mumbai Indians vs. Gujarat Titansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.8
Punjab Kings vs. Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+72.5%+$15.55
Kolkata Knight Riders vs. Rajasthan Royalsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$312.71
Royal Challengers Bangalore vs. Chennai Super Kingsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$143.48
Rajasthan Royals vs. Mumbai Indiansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+95.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.