TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,968,971
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,072,336

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,968,971 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 3,692 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x054b…8477backed Yes8c1,642,125$131,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,220.41560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes7c1,021,594$67,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,333.73633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-48.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Yes8c586,127$45,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,074.01560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes7c457,931$30,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,909.991010%1 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-81.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde24…25a8backed Yes10c427,631$41,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,402.15244.2%1 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick15cpaid-86.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4c9…6ef7backed Yes8c259,264$20,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,741.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ba…e8fabacked Yes9c128,748$10,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,981.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e7…b8a5backed Yes9c127,152$11,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,527.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ea…cbf1backed Yes8c121,266$9,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,701.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa595…3fdebacked Yes9c111,012$9,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,991.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69fb…c051backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e3…2b53backed Yes8c95,000$7,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,600333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9a…8d22backed Yes10c93,628$9,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,298.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa75b…4121backed Yes13c85,375$10,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,776.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0914…9c93backed Yes6c82,649$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96fc…457abacked Yes7c79,192$5,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,407.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b99…ea8abacked Yes0c73,087$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6139…be48backed Yes10c72,500$6,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,967.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x104d…0024backed Yes9c66,911$6,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,274.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd159…2128backed Yes7c64,286$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,500333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-45%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Yes7c62,807$4,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,321.2260%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7079…910bbacked Yes9c62,672$5,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,640.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a6…dd8fbacked Yes8c60,728$4,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,858.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59dd…8cfbbacked Yes10c60,472$6,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,047.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd781…1727backed Yes8c59,084$5,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,020250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe6f…37b1backed Yes8c57,453$4,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,750.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-62.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e1b…8d68backed Yes11c56,986$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39e7…24a9backed Yes9c55,667$5,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,009.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a44…3614backed Yes9c55,556$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-44.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe171…ab39backed Yes9c55,556$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d4c…f38cbacked Yes9c55,556$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f86…9240backed Yes9c53,669$4,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,830.1840%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20cc…dc03backed Yes7c52,600$3,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,68210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c4…6c5dbacked Yes5c51,067$2,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,633.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed1…3fa1backed Yes11c50,924$5,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,446.1130%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5810…c29cbacked Yes8c50,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db7…e0d8backed Yes8c49,763$3,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,986.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51e7…a5debacked Yes9c49,703$4,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,527.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes8c47,700$3,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,769.991118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-68.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc259…30efbacked Yes6c47,236$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95cf…0139backed Yes8c45,715$3,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,43310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa727…1dd7backed Yes9c44,433$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-67.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aba…eea1backed Yes9c43,897$3,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,732.07333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes8c42,480$3,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,302.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a86…b39ebacked Yes9c42,417$3,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,705.03450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Yes6c42,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,520250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe4…2859backed Yes9c41,789$3,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,606.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca41…0580backed Yes6c41,775$2,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,506.520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94b2…cd1dbacked Yes7c41,667$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11b6…a8bcbacked Yes8c40,950$3,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,098.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e9b…6e75backed Yes8c40,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x752e…81c4backed Yes10c37,893$3,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,689.33540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5812…f1c7backed Yes8c37,490$2,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9faa…26f7backed Yes9c37,353$3,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,225.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-51.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes1c36,574$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.1333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-54.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa67f…c588backed Yes8c36,521$3,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,039.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c58…01aebacked Yes9c36,368$3,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,221.59560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a1…8e08backed Yes10c35,469$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,400.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes6c34,841$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,966.7330%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf65…fde8backed Yes10c33,933$3,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,244.8130%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1601…fd40backed Yes9c33,028$2,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,972.550%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc45b…243fbacked Yes9c32,644$2,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,937.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc82e…0d6abacked Yes10c32,342$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,250450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+138.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c72…fd49backed Yes8c31,981$2,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,558.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-45.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77ed…b5eebacked Yes10c31,922$3,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,072.57333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4813…ae12backed Yes1c31,261$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes8c31,111$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+40.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96c4…bfdebacked Yes3c30,822$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.940%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08a8…ae5ebacked Yes7c30,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc1…3e3fbacked Yes10c30,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6852…de68backed Yes9c29,954$2,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,824.04333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-45.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f3…23bebacked Yes2c29,902$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.8320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b24…dd3fbacked Yes8c27,806$2,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e28…af8abacked Yes5c27,636$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0089…e693backed Yes8c27,465$2,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,291.36333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3b…5d31backed Yes9c27,308$2,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,356742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+62.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3c…b933backed Yes8c26,843$2,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e0…f11cbacked Yes0c26,170$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd40f…69b2backed Yes5c25,992$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16bc…c822backed Yes8c25,462$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,036.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf579…3e55backed Yes8c25,108$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3057…5bcfbacked Yes8c25,007$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6d2…5bfebacked Yes7c23,958$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68a7…ab1fbacked Yes8c23,714$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Yes8c22,625$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-46.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ab…76e9backed Yes9c22,565$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,030.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x508b…cad7backed Yes8c22,547$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a80…e4b3backed Yes5c22,483$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc89f…695bbacked Yes4c22,323$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-50.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6779…d274backed Yes9c22,222$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc620…2da3backed Yes9c21,335$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.19425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-62.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed Yes8c21,300$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,704250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63d6…9228backed Yes10c20,505$2,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,026.4930%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7119…7132backed Yes10c20,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e5c…57fcbacked Yes10c20,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ce…f646backed Yes10c20,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-35.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf10f…b295backed Yes7c20,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f21…8932backed Yes10c20,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked Yes6c20,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-70.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00a9…36bbbacked Yes8c20,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.