TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,917,754
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,605,555

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,917,754 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 5,907 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f2b…27a9backed Yes62c371,194$230,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140,685.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9707…e3bcbacked Yes61c339,517$208,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130,783.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x399f…cd4dbacked Yes64c337,361$214,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122,628.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48ae…85c4backed Yes63c283,742$180,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,646.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacd9…3d87backed Yes78c259,720$202,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,310.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bfb…a4a2backed No40c249,993$99,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,997.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fad…1d0abacked Yes64c248,214$158,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,856.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes62c220,788$137,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,787.371225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-64.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x971e…751fbacked Yes60c219,381$130,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,723.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4c9…6ef7backed Yes63c180,599$113,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,553.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe46b…5635backed Yes62c172,135$106,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,411.22333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-46.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe91c…334fbacked Yes62c152,178$94,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,127.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb5…b536backed Yes68c147,604$99,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,610.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48dd…e8b6backed Yes62c133,351$82,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,158.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Yes62c133,193$83,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,053.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1057…9ea5backed Yes63c131,816$82,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,370.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked Yes60c130,360$78,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,562.121020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-70.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed Yes63c118,860$74,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,523.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9af5…5312backed Yes63c117,702$73,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,014.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Yes60c115,862$70,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,862.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaec7…f646backed Yes62c109,683$68,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,522.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e18…f52abacked Yes63c106,638$67,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,012.13475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5554…f6c6backed No37c100,289$37,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,40020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e24…2797backed Yes65c100,000$65,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,999.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Yes60c99,591$59,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,290.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-44%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd159…2128backed Yes61c99,061$60,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,051.7333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-45%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac0…bd89backed Yes61c98,748$60,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,328.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed Yes60c97,354$58,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,224.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-44.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3291…e502backed Yes72c90,822$65,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,147.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb75…0252backed Yes59c88,600$52,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,083.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e3…c7f2backed Yes63c85,096$53,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,764.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes57c85,050$48,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,251.042564%16 W · 9 L+5.2wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+67.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb672…9f61backed No39c84,475$32,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,945.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dc6…0fa2backed Yes60c83,194$49,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,277.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b0e…78ddbacked Yes61c80,010$48,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,203.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5f4…bc4fbacked Yes61c71,970$43,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,052.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d4c…f38cbacked Yes63c71,835$44,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,874.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5978…5e50backed Yes60c71,209$42,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,543.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e9b…6e75backed No38c70,000$26,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,80020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59cf…4275backed Yes64c69,912$45,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,912.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a7…e661backed Yes61c67,200$40,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,293.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c58…01aebacked Yes60c66,425$39,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,541.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes63c65,479$41,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,137.03633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-48.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aba…eea1backed Yes61c63,370$38,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,891.86333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd781…1727backed Yes70c63,053$43,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,202.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a1…358dbacked Yes61c62,730$38,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,464.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes62c62,137$38,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,794.534942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0bf…40aabacked Yes63c61,820$38,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,821.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fec…2b67backed Yes60c60,528$36,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,322.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x063a…8382backed Yes61c60,001$36,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,450.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Yes59c58,405$34,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,926.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb116…3176backed Yes59c53,049$31,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,753.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe083…fcb5backed No39c52,896$20,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,486.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c91…9af7backed Yes61c51,567$31,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,015.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda4…b43bbacked Yes66c50,989$33,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,178.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes63c50,884$32,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,826.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1421…b0c6backed Yes63c49,879$31,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,383.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ecc…b8cbbacked Yes65c48,380$31,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,152.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a9…36bbbacked Yes60c48,131$29,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,109.24875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a0f…0ffbbacked Yes63c47,952$29,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,959.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes61c47,204$28,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,409.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa20b…d3cabacked Yes60c45,208$26,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,256.19425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-58.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x763b…f5cebacked Yes65c44,568$29,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,566.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a44…3614backed Yes60c41,497$24,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,499.96333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-44.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ec…5d8ebacked Yes64c40,876$26,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,685.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Yes63c40,326$25,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,745.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a86…b39ebacked Yes62c39,824$24,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,208.05450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc82e…0d6abacked Yes63c39,807$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,807.38450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+138.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6852…de68backed Yes62c39,237$24,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,058.11333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-45.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe800…f2e4backed Yes61c38,724$23,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,277.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf50…4c59backed Yes64c38,531$24,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,055.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…30f5backed Yes63c36,660$23,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,505.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Yes64c36,131$23,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,865.463100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x020b…d13cbacked Yes63c35,894$22,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,280.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed Yes59c35,542$20,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,544.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb76…86a5backed Yes62c35,051$21,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,373.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x170c…02b8backed Yes64c34,965$22,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,486.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd0…58dabacked Yes63c34,503$21,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,766.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf946…a175backed Yes58c34,467$19,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,475.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdbf…4a3bbacked Yes62c33,190$20,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,707.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78b9…7046backed Yes61c32,926$19,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,978.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c72…fd49backed Yes61c32,479$19,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,518.2333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-45.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ce6…b90ebacked Yes62c32,330$20,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,318.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa75b…4121backed Yes63c31,536$19,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,636.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127d…49fdbacked Yes64c31,242$19,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,247.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e1…69a4backed Yes64c30,914$19,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,204.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f4…5d51backed Yes65c30,417$19,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,645.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…b295backed Yes61c30,313$18,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,703.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…4ef5backed Yes62c30,000$18,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,399.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf5c…bf77backed No37c29,920$10,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,965.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd197…13f0backed Yes63c29,831$18,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,037.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfc9…2b7ebacked Yes62c29,363$18,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,142.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff26…69d3backed Yes63c28,361$17,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,623.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3f3…525dbacked No37c28,202$10,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,323.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes65c27,925$18,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,663.31450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d4e…8be7backed Yes62c26,054$16,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,831.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e3…2b53backed Yes58c26,000$15,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,820333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb0…9103backed Yes60c25,871$15,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,348.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1381…980ebacked Yes65c25,425$16,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,907.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed49…8065backed Yes64c25,125$16,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,024.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.