TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,399,877
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,184,322

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,399,877 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 10,881 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd235…0f29backed Yes33c11,077,378$3,645,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,645,112.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1057…9ea5backed No67c1,097,858$736,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361,509.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b0e…78ddbacked No69c1,076,743$742,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334,330.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fad…1d0abacked No70c1,040,120$725,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315,095.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0bf…40aabacked No71c916,561$649,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266,714.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe91c…334fbacked No67c774,999$521,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253,249.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f47…af93backed No66c645,296$423,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222,199.46683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3f84backed No68c546,071$370,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175,096.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd197…13f0backed No69c480,400$333,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146,706.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e24…2797backed No71c463,308$328,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134,997.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed No64c433,831$278,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155,266.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ae…85c4backed No68c398,015$269,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128,099.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x399f…cd4dbacked No66c356,783$235,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,716.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e2…a960backed Yes30c336,835$99,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,468.8940%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84b4…46fbbacked Yes32c327,698$105,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105,523.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa714…9305backed No71c317,203$223,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,229.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a86…b39ebacked No68c311,352$212,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,744.37450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb3d…f8acbacked No69c291,373$201,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,608.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d1e…04d0backed Yes37c261,985$97,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,977.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes28c231,053$64,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,363.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd833…1b11backed Yes30c218,423$66,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,373.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No67c209,558$139,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,664.91633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-48.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed No69c206,446$142,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,477.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69fb…c051backed Yes0c202,870$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.7430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a9…36bbbacked Yes29c199,321$57,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,112.1875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4558…a2b3backed No77c197,659$151,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,862.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+77%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a4c…532bbacked Yes3c188,960$5,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,405.430%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe6f…37b1backed Yes30c188,456$55,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,773.72425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-62.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1569…bf0cbacked No68c165,766$112,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,883.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed No70c159,226$112,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,181.493100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79f2…7620backed No68c157,729$107,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,473.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e7…b8a5backed Yes35c154,661$53,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,383.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ec…5d8ebacked No73c149,843$109,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,390.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5758…da7bbacked No68c146,800$100,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,777.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27bc…4f61backed Yes32c145,047$45,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,932.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5f4…bc4fbacked No68c143,982$98,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,925.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes28c135,886$38,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,591.621010%1 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-81.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dc6…9889backed Yes28c130,015$36,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,661.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe083…fcb5backed Yes30c128,033$38,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,152.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42cb…8412backed No72c127,401$91,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,733.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No70c125,016$87,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,367.51837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dda…8b1ebacked No67c119,320$79,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,375.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95cc…7f08backed No67c116,321$78,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,887.13450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x020b…d13cbacked No70c115,412$80,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,761.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84c3…d334backed Yes27c111,903$30,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,213.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ef7…d8c4backed Yes40c109,381$44,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,197.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d8…3bb5backed Yes32c109,109$34,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,84510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec60…128bbacked Yes30c106,913$31,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,622.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…b49dbacked No68c104,228$70,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,608.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5562…2566backed No68c103,873$70,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,236.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f47…3a6bbacked Yes1c103,188$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e62…f107backed Yes29c101,903$30,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,045.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5554…f6c6backed Yes35c100,028$35,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,50020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42d3…48b4backed Yes32c99,263$32,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a7…e661backed No69c93,711$64,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,898.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacd9…3d87backed No79c92,488$72,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,654.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc07f…c214backed Yes28c90,725$25,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,697.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x328a…af7ebacked Yes31c90,323$28,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,999.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed No66c87,794$58,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,470.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-49.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe438…5babbacked Yes30c85,502$25,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,902.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2712…0f61backed Yes30c84,826$25,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,438.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5810…c29cbacked Yes31c83,355$25,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,588.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbca…8b0dbacked No69c83,336$57,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,636.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa934…8c07backed No66c82,243$54,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,981.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2093…6d4dbacked No63c78,529$49,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,735.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8475…2983backed Yes32c78,448$25,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4222…bcd3backed No68c78,370$53,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,764.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked No70c77,680$54,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,218.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe03e…b285backed No67c74,483$49,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,627.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf579…3e55backed Yes33c69,485$23,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f86…9240backed Yes30c68,239$20,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,253.6440%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfda…bedebacked No70c67,641$47,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,296.241050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadc4…581ebacked Yes37c65,601$24,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,588.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d71…7f59backed Yes31c64,757$19,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,920.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d2…5bfebacked Yes36c64,637$22,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,949.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x763b…f5cebacked No69c63,818$44,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,557.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed No72c62,361$44,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,579.73757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f80…8966backed Yes31c61,897$19,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,203.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x343c…909abacked Yes32c60,823$19,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,430.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd96…7d1cbacked Yes39c59,971$23,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,567.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x548e…77a7backed Yes0c58,987$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed No68c58,390$39,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,393.93850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb23b…f1b8backed Yes2c58,168$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc878…bc4ebacked Yes35c58,070$20,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,100.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a5…5ac2backed Yes28c57,259$16,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,296.4730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed No68c57,095$38,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,347.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c6…0547backed Yes28c56,704$15,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,747.01333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-46.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac48…b40cbacked Yes34c56,005$19,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,198.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Yes27c55,146$14,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,877.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed No63c52,253$32,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,499.082564%16 W · 9 L+5.2wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+67.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd8ab…bcd9backed Yes29c51,998$15,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,079.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf4e…1783backed No69c51,711$35,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,814.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+319.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9969…c885backed No67c51,075$34,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,816.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e28…af8abacked Yes28c50,578$14,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,05420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc9…2b7ebacked No64c50,401$32,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,256.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44c1…5f7bbacked Yes29c50,000$14,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,383.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked No68c47,744$32,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,318.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9448…1276backed Yes31c46,370$14,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,29510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f55…6f08backed Yes34c44,101$14,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,994.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Yes28c43,946$12,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,504.8730%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.