TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x95cc…7f08

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
131
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst UFC at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT3650%18 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$522.81
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,738Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+148.8%+$7,047.69
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$553.28
Chelsea wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,439Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+72.4%+$1,041.77
Will Spurs win on 2024-11-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+376%+$617.42
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-11-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+56.3%+$3,600
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+44.9%+$111.41
Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+185.7%+$791.08
Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,995Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+54.4%+$2,714.95
Will Liverpool vs. Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,888Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+26.6%+$501.9
Will Brighton win on 2024-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$10.56
Will Man City win on 2024-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$7,448Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+128.2%+$9,546.48
Will Wolves win on 2024-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$1,485.1
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+40.8%+$300.65
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$38.53
Will Brentford win on 2024-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,419Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$1,418.56
Will Fulham win on 2024-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+138.1%+$30.07
Will West Ham win on 2024-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,476Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$1,475.93
Will Southampton win on 2024-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$176.28
Will West Ham vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+270.4%+$98.92
Will Villa win on 2024-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$946Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$946.05
Will Spurs win on 2024-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$278.58
Will Man City win on 2024-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$821Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+45.5%+$374.05
Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$347.36
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2024, EST2564%16 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+51.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,991Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$1,991.3
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$8,250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+33.3%+$2,750
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,792Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST-100%-$1,791.64
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$703Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST-100%-$702.61
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$968Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST+102.8%+$994.3
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+42.9%+$2,101.57
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,086Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$1,085.96
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+163.2%+$490.54
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,132Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+207.6%+$4,426.1
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,538Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+40.8%+$1,036.75
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$256.06
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,546Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+44.9%+$694.48
Wizards vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,608Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+26.6%+$427.36
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+61.3%+$14
Bulls vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,438Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$4,437.97
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,803Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST+27.8%+$2,171.5
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST+103.9%+$198.99
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,305Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST+113.8%+$1,485.36
Clippers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+42.9%+$1,499.98
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$1,498.64
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$1,097.4
Kings vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+108.3%+$2,599.95
76ers vs. Pacersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+900%+$406.98
Cavaliers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$142.72
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,356Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+159.2%+$5,343.22
All 25 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2025, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$159.35
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$835Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$835.4
Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$35.23
Will the Texans beat the Cowboys by 8 or more points?backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$714Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$714
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,750Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+81.8%+$2,249.99
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+177.8%+$3,200
Vikings vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$1,400
Browns vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,472Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+108.3%+$2,678.14
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$1,449.98
Colts vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$659Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$658.96
Will the Rams and Dolphins combine for 49 or more points?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,622Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+108.3%+$1,757.1
Dolphins vs. Ramsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,097Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+72.9%+$3,717.14
Dolphins vs. Billsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$383.28
Texans vs. Jetsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$6,414Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$6,414.01
Colts vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+25%+$66
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2024, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich beat Benfica?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$171.58
Will Arsenal beat Inter Milan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,749Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+53.7%+$938.92
Will Inter Milan beat Arsenal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$860.06
Will Barcelona beat Red Star Belgrade?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$53.24
Will RB Salzburg beat Feyenoord?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$21.55
Will Atalanta beat Stuttgart?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$12.71
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Atletico Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$958Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$958.14
Will Sparta Praha beat Stade Brestois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+53.1%+$330.28
Will Stade Brestois beat Sparta Praha?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+194.1%+$68.25
Will Club Brugge beat Aston Villa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+270.4%+$247.51
Will Shakhtar Donetsk beat Young Boys?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,348Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$2,348.2
Will Young Boys beat Shakhtar Donetsk?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+29.9%+$16.44
Will Aston Villa beat Club Brugge?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,591Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+86.9%+$4,860.21
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2024, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oliveira vs. Chandlerbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,892Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+46.8%+$2,290.76
Araujo vs. Silvabacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,872Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$3,872.38
Meerschaert vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+38.9%+$11.41
Barriault vs. Stoltzfusbacked Barriault · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$803Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$803.36
Moreno vs. Albazibacked Albazi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$344.69
Blanchfield vs. Namajunasbacked Blanchfield · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$874Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EDT+78.3%+$684.43
Machado vs. Ribeirobacked Machado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$53.1
Malott vs. Gilesbacked Giles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$31.24
Topuria vs. Hollowaybacked Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+45.4%+$109.39
Whittaker vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,869Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+53.7%+$1,002.66
Ankalaev vs. Rakicbacked Rakic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$528.06
Murphy vs. Igebacked Ige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,037.21
Magomedov vs. Petrosyanbacked Petrosyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,486Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$3,485.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2024, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2024, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2024, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-66.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2024, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+142.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BYU beat Kansas?backed Kansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,470Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+142.9%+$3,530
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.