F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5dbb6dbb65688c54459c30ad65f3d2991537bf5f67518362659b813aa350bfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 78c | 28,799$22,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,225.55 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Yes | 0c | 19,436$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279d…bc0ebacked Yes | 15c | 11,700$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +195.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073b…9113backed Yes | 35c | 7,329$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3753…9cb5backed Yes | 25c | 3,658$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.74 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 13c | 3,425$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.09 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked No | 76c | 3,412$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…bb26backed Yes | 55c | 3,348$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b5…6b1ebacked Yes | 30c | 3,332$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…2becbacked No | 77c | 2,922$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed No | 70c | 2,638$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…e0b0backed Yes | 15c | 2,070$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Yes | 25c | 1,931$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4af2…4a6fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,812$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.59 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 5c | 1,779$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 31c | 1,595$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 75c | 1,544$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.56 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 80c | 1,532$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.78 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,498$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed No | 68c | 1,453$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.34 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…f5e2backed Yes | 20c | 1,434$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e9…f89dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,331$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.39 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c9…75a0backed Yes | 1c | 1,310$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…a62cbacked No | 50c | 1,238$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +279.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 70c | 1,234$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…cda9backed Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0af…8753backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…e12fbacked Yes | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…9e29backed Yes | 13c | 936.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.68 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1efa…6a86backed Yes | 22c | 928.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f94…e466backed Yes | 19c | 848.58$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321a…b052backed No | 72c | 840.93$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d2…371cbacked Yes | 28c | 823.93$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ab…25dfbacked Yes | 25c | 817$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…5f67backed Yes | 24c | 800$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.09 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed65…b1b2backed No | 72c | 793.61$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.61 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fd…e554backed Yes | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 17c | 750$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e58…d19dbacked Yes | 29c | 722.9$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 714.09$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.13 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ec…2868backed Yes | 29c | 689.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 72c | 656.94$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 75c | 642.18$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.02 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bb…bdb9backed Yes | 16c | 635.5$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…1b22backed Yes | 30c | 600$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaed1…9116backed Yes | 11c | 600$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…3ceebacked Yes | 17c | 600$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…02debacked Yes | 17c | 581.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f83backed No | 73c | 550.88$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Yes | 13c | 550$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Yes | 25c | 520$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…bffebacked No | 68c | 514.71$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4e…ddfebacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 67c | 462.75$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.58 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a0…0fb8backed Yes | 16c | 437.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x719c…b635backed Yes | 14c | 413.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 65c | 412.28$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…8b0fbacked Yes | 29c | 404.96$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…2beabacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4165…90a2backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 16c | 334.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…720bbacked Yes | 31c | 325.38$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…b7e2backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa01c…6b40backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…3f40backed Yes | 26c | 300$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…2e45backed No | 76c | 297.98$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40de…ca49backed Yes | 28c | 287.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d6…e85bbacked Yes | 23c | 285.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0b…87d0backed Yes | 16c | 285.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd15…0661backed Yes | 28c | 285.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a5…b96dbacked Yes | 27c | 278.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…2256backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc441…92eabacked No | 73c | 274.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f9…6e41backed Yes | 30c | 274.3$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 6c | 266.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ba…5833backed Yes | 30c | 266.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc835…9525backed Yes | 28c | 263.82$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850c…3f88backed Yes | 15c | 262.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 19c | 251$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 27c | 242.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 75c | 238$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…9d56backed Yes | 27c | 231.65$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 19c | 227.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…8b56backed Yes | 18c | 219.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…1d41backed Yes | 17c | 211.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 78c | 205.19$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…b250backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac37…55eabacked Yes | 25c | 175.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…768cbacked Yes | 58c | 174.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…fb1bbacked Yes | 17c | 173.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x636f…8385backed Yes | 19c | 170$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…4531backed Yes | 15c | 169.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…c128backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…123dbacked Yes | 31c | 162.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc031…1606backed No | 72c | 160$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64cf…2d16backed Yes | 13c | 151.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…e4afbacked Yes | 42c | 148.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?this page
- Will Lando Norris win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Sergio Perez win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will another driver win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.