F1 · resolved market
Will George Russell win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ccf50feb4af6568fad8854bd540d47aad6810ab1ced9034ab62caddf3e36130
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked No | 1c | 49,127$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 1cpaid | +710%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 77c | 5,173$3,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,976.01 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 23c | 3,000$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.32 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 30c | 2,845$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.11 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bba…4c96backed Yes | 11c | 2,822$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +340.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 40c | 1,867$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.37 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,300$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.38 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…3d8abacked Yes | 3c | 1,206$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.61 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +179.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…0c1abacked Yes | 31c | 1,186$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 15c | 1,083$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.37 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 23c | 999.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 73c | 883.66$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.53 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…7d21backed Yes | 4c | 852.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +424.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 7c | 742.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.5 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc441…92eabacked No | 73c | 615.55$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed Yes | 3c | 417.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.81 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed Yes | 27c | 417.01$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 23c | 371.68$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.56 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 17c | 349.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2817…1f7cbacked Yes | 6c | 344.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…02debacked Yes | 42c | 312.3$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.3 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa01c…6b40backed Yes | 25c | 295.54$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 21c | 225.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.06 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f94…e466backed Yes | 27c | 225.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…9e29backed Yes | 23c | 201.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.55 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec1b…c92fbacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e9…f89dbacked Yes | 19c | 192.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.55 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5180…b344backed Yes | 79c | 186.92$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850c…3f88backed Yes | 27c | 165.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007e…bb8bbacked Yes | 47c | 161.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 75c | 150$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe570…ec02backed Yes | 74c | 135.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed65…b1b2backed No | 77c | 129.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0934…f376backed Yes | 30c | 124.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ba…1c1dbacked No | 10c | 110.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…1b22backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes | 24c | 99.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…a32abacked Yes | 58c | 96.84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40de…ca49backed Yes | 23c | 95.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb2…634dbacked Yes | 11c | 87.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +78%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778a…1a6dbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68d…f913backed No | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb4…9c38backed Yes | 23c | 64.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…6215backed Yes | 47c | 63.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a3…6b77backed Yes | 25c | 56.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc260…9274backed No | 46c | 53.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…eba4backed Yes | 23c | 52.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba3…e558backed Yes | 21c | 52.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a6…dd8fbacked No | 77c | 47.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…e2d3backed Yes | 67c | 44.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ece…cff3backed Yes | 75c | 42.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…d284backed Yes | 43c | 34.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…1b46backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c56…7007backed Yes | 47c | 27.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661b…93d4backed Yes | 76c | 26.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b8…e965backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will George Russell win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?this page
- Will Lando Norris win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Sergio Perez win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will another driver win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.