TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,263
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,153

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,263 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x873c…ac48backed Yes0c17,685$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.68100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Yes2c8,621$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.23537.5%4 W · 49 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No74c4,377$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.372568%17 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes18c1,239$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.1812616.7%21 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed No77c1,040$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.192867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed65…b1b2backed Yes25c1,008$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013219.7%26 W · 106 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Yes24c999.98$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Yes22c846.48$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.5114356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x15ab…25dfbacked Yes27c806.45$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.9650%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Yes34c806.45$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.191428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-56.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5445…58f0backed Yes22c799.99$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17640%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e8…98a4backed Yes25c747.01$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x542a…0312backed Yes28c718.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0af…8753backed No77c679.11$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.2850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e9…f89dbacked Yes21c638.61$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.771225%3 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86a9…ba84backed Yes27c544.58$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a8…1b38backed Yes25c480$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206136.1%22 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7dd…594abacked Yes28c475$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecc2…1c35backed Yes23c464.96$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.941050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7961…2da2backed No76c439.68$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-56%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904f…50c6backed Yes28c375.14$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4815922%35 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9817…3ca4backed No75c352.61$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.263100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25ac…e537backed Yes28c351.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95cd…32d0backed Yes24c339.15$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.11040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No70c247$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.11872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick66cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f06…6203backed Yes24c230.88$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.94333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+171.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-40.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaed1…9116backed Yes8c200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151010%1 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No74c198.82$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.692951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc835…9525backed Yes27c187.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-74.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f94…e466backed Yes27c185.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x968d…e3b6backed Yes26c182.11$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.475714%8 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked No78c168.4$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.56742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe743…f5e2backed Yes27c166.67$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0305…b615backed Yes26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Yes20c133.59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.725154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x850c…3f88backed Yes23c117.39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-38.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x330d…6174backed Yes30c113.33$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3440%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6206…d9a2backed Yes23c113.04$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2640%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f19…c50bbacked Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe48d…a875backed Yes25c100.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2570%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes23c100.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.378529.4%25 W · 60 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52ef…6b77backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25110%0 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x420e…5544backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610051%51 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa256…fc1ebacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8870…6578backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152913.8%4 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2130…b64dbacked Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e60…b440backed Yes20c99.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012419.4%24 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b7…aca7backed Yes24c99.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95cc…7f08backed Yes23c99.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.86475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc647…2f83backed Yes24c99.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.86520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-72.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc17…ff1abacked Yes26c95.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9337…d284backed Yes55c93.81$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes23c90$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b3…03dabacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes24c80$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.26055%33 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2a6…fb1bbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202810.7%3 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-59.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6018…170cbacked Yes33c74.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3f7…6059backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889e…c9e7backed No76c71.05$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.05666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ece…cff3backed Yes29c69.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd866…d76bbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc333…8c8cbacked Yes30c67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0760…c72ebacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick16cpaid+4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a8…c77bbacked Yes24c62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152020%4 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecb4…9c38backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+57.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0f4…abb7backed Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x778a…1a6dbacked Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd673…1b22backed Yes55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.55717.5%10 W · 47 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-52.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x381b…0ec9backed Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97db…3ef7backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No67c49.57$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3612353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10d…becebacked No76c48.64$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x377e…d43ebacked Yes24c45.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cb…b857backed No74c44.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.63785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+69.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1fc9…6621backed No76c43.42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-67.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9359…0776backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4287…0befbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd416…df81backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed No66c37.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.761050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed No66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0b…87d0backed Yes67c28.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9360%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd22c…c656backed No77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.971136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3790…5eddbacked No76c23.82$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c10…0b65backed No78c15.94$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.