TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6018…170c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Movies, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movieslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT13635.3%48 W · 88 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 136 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+65%+$445.17
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.14
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.01
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.64
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$292.81
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.77
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$67.17
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.89
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 330m and 340m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+358.6%+$477
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.24
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 98m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.99
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.8
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+275.3%+$665.34
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+139.2%+$643.23
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.15
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.29
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.28
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+1,460.2%+$661.35
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+879%+$417.93
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$81.63
Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+143.5%+$25.36
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.21
Showing 25 of 136 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.47
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.69
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$44.82
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$29.68
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 18 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Kingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+55.1%+$38.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kamaru Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.