Movies · resolved market

Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0a541e73c2d66abb4360cb47d8f968b0455cf93e24bbfa6d8d718d974ce9217

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $61,457
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $59,703

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,457 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe739…0c48backed No	1c	7,789$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.7	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7e25…9712backed No	16c	3,497$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.83	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-2.7wins	-0.16per pick	27cpaid	-81%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked No	28c	3,151$882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$881.85	326	39.3%128 W · 198 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes	70c	2,171$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$640.93	327	39.1%128 W · 199 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	17c	1,939$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.53	82	25.6%21 W · 61 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	23c	1,765$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.27	103	39.8%41 W · 62 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes	75c	1,604$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.69	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	21c	1,393$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.58	119	24.4%29 W · 90 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5095…93eebacked Yes	55c	1,271$699 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.49	296	42.6%126 W · 170 L	+22.9wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x411a…5a86backed No	7c	1,250$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	21c	1,198$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.87	167	37.1%62 W · 105 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed No	13c	1,168$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.14	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70b…6087backed Yes	71c	943.57$671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.74	116	33.6%39 W · 77 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1327…ac1cbacked Yes	68c	769.05$523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.1	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked No	14c	754.25$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.27	101	39.6%40 W · 61 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf82f…8137backed No	36c	668.98$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x714d…c177backed No	40c	626.04$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.42	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11c8…be84backed Yes	41c	599.98$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.98	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x100a…0919backed No	33c	573$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.09	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe78…c533backed No	27c	529.34$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.92	297	35.7%106 W · 191 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5a3…883abacked Yes	63c	528.01$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.28	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	25c	510.87$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.8	124	42.7%53 W · 71 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed Yes	67c	500$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked No	29c	456$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.88	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-3.6wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	3c	455.13$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.26	1,394	8%111 W · 1,283 L	-47.9wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No	17c	427.64$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.33	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	-4.7wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33f8…c5e4backed No	17c	421.36$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.63	294	23.5%69 W · 225 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-43%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No	12c	399$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.88	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	79c	370.6$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.62	100	42%42 W · 58 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed No	8c	333$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.64	133	21.1%28 W · 105 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes	74c	330.11$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.57	150	54.7%82 W · 68 L	+30.5wins	+0.20per pick	34cpaid	+62.6%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x8aac…309abacked No	33c	324.06$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.48	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	69c	323.72$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.55	137	35%48 W · 89 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2330…ed99backed Yes	79c	320.01$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.09	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+3.3wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No	22c	306.09$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.86	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-6.8wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	28c	305$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.15	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b85…8363backed Yes	68c	300$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2482…67b1backed Yes	60c	300$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	90	34.4%31 W · 59 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf30f…a161backed Yes	67c	299.99$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.5	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	11c	293.29$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.92	268	6.3%17 W · 251 L	-13.5wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-53%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2583…261abacked Yes	60c	243.87$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.52	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.15per pick	46cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No	15c	240$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.55	84	42.9%36 W · 48 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	26c	230$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	99	51.5%51 W · 48 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299c…7e23backed Yes	68c	225$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed No	21c	220$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	144	25.7%37 W · 107 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed No	30c	208.67$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	264	31.1%82 W · 182 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6018…170cbacked Yes	59c	200.99$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.63	136	35.3%48 W · 88 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes	68c	200$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	51	29.4%15 W · 36 L	-4.7wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes	49c	195.31$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.27	233	21.5%50 W · 183 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-34%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb679…bd5ebacked No	26c	188$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.88	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	27cpaid	+108.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	72c	182.13$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.51	220	30.5%67 W · 153 L	-13.6wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	33c	173.99$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.45	870	33.3%290 W · 580 L	-77.0wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes	56c	160$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.4	53	62.3%33 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7738…76a4backed No	14c	155.61$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-6.1wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No	24c	131.28$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.47	1,218	17.8%217 W · 1,001 L	-124.0wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3387…c3f7backed No	39c	130.07$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.21	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb23b…503fbacked No	27c	126$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.02	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd78…e773backed Yes	59c	125$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.25	131	19.1%25 W · 106 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4528…450fbacked No	31c	120$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb0…bd65backed No	29c	116.34$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.1	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ad…6a6bbacked Yes	73c	110$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.7	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	61cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	34c	103$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.02	75	37.3%28 W · 47 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad70…4ccfbacked No	31c	100.16$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	108	14.8%16 W · 92 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes	74c	100$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.2	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes	74c	94.74$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.6	108	30.6%33 W · 75 L	-13.9wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes	66c	94$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.96	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb57e…0b91backed No	34c	88.44$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.16	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ef…ebcabacked Yes	67c	85$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.45	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.14per pick	54cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x508d…791abacked Yes	72c	85$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.72	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-4.2wins	-0.19per pick	46cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	72c	84.82$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.52	365	38.1%139 W · 226 L	-19.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	17c	80$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.44	106	45.3%48 W · 58 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	17c	80$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	68	33.8%23 W · 45 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d81…fe57backed Yes	77c	78.14$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.36	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No	32c	75$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.26per pick	42cpaid	-78.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e01…757abacked No	21c	68.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.49	82	31.7%26 W · 56 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2b…841dbacked Yes	68c	68.15$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.81	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f2…a1cabacked Yes	68c	66.43$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.26	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb58e…761abacked Yes	67c	64$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.12	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5566…7c29backed No	25c	63$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.46	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f3…8f04backed Yes	68c	59.12$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.92	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9b3…74c4backed Yes	71c	57.97$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.81	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes	68c	56$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.92	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-7.8wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-69.3%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xfdf3…7cc3backed Yes	67c	56$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.48	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7130…d269backed Yes	71c	54.29$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.74	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63f4…35e1backed No	46c	52$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.92	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.34per pick	33cpaid	+187.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a04…b3b0backed No	46c	51$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3f…bc25backed Yes	67c	51$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.83	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…95d5backed Yes	71c	50.7$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabcf…4cfcbacked Yes	68c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e8…6d19backed No	26c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-50%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e1…1b3dbacked Yes	68c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f23…f9d9backed No	43c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes	57c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.5	198	36.4%72 W · 126 L	-11.1wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0041…967cbacked Yes	68c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.24per pick	47cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd20…6159backed Yes	68c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.14per pick	58cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea31…a889backed Yes	68c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc798…6254backed Yes	68c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x239f…8b82backed Yes	68c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7a2…c296backed Yes	66c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd85d…3700backed No	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?this page
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 25m?No won
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?No won
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?No won
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event