TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2330…ed99

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: AI, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category AI at 58 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.02
Will Mark Carney attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+138.4%+$79.64
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$296.82
Will Dynamite be the first song performed by BTS at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$81
Will "Dai Dai" be the first song played at the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.8
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.25
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.24
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.52
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$22.89
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29%+$6.75
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$323.22
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$864Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$486
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$117.5
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$255.36
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$112
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.5
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$42
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$169.49
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.5
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$37.1
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$168
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT2650%13 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.84
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.05
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.79
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.7%+$49.38
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+184.7%+$900.44
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$10.09
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$16.72
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$35.5
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.98
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$27.77
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.53
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.48
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$72.92
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$38.6
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.71
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$11.8
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$67.62
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$17.62
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Movies — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Toy Story 5" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$21.3
Will "Moana" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 17.5m and 19m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$294.97
Will "Toy Story 5" 5th Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+107%+$151.71
Will "Moana" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$23.58
Will "Moana" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.78
Will "Minions & Monsters" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$345.78
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$805Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+151.5%+$1,218.99
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.54
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+204.5%+$67.5
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$108.15
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+26%+$66.09
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 25m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.4
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 44m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$201.06
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 39m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.95
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$248.26
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.44
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$89.24
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.05
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+115.6%+$899.32
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.62
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$748.52
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+158.7%+$432.48
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$19.95
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.44
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+119.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+171.1%+$272.12
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.5
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$20.66
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$438.89
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+120.1%+$33.17
Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+1,209%+$732.23
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.14
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$173.35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$26.23
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.28
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Twisted Minds Orchid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.31
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.95
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$48
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$67.99
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$30.14
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick61cpaid+42.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31%+$14.2
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$40.67
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$12.14
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$259.03
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$245.07
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$138.71
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$34.36
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.66
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Palermo: Alessandra Mazzola vs Dalila Spiteribacked Alessandra Mazzola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.4
Palermo: Amarissa Kiara Toth vs Jennifer Ruggeribacked Jennifer Ruggeri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+84.2%+$114.88
Segovia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Miguel Tobonbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+129.7%+$364.3
Hamburg European Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Julia Stusekbacked Nadia Podoroska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$304
Granby: Justin Boulais vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Justin Boulais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$9.03
Athens Open: Mina Hodzic vs Harriet Dartbacked Harriet Dart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$61.64
Kitzbuehel: Veronika Erjavec vs Victoria Bosiobacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+57%+$27.95
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Djokovicbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$18.6
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+44.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wingsbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,624Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$1,296.88
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$25.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$162.17
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$166.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 Winnerbacked Grêmio Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$66.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Jenz - Game 2 Winnerbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.