TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: NRG Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Shopify Rebellion Blackof NRG Academy, Shopify Rebellion Black
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,638
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,638 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2276…efd0backed Shopify Rebellion Black66c3,547$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.753177.4%24 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Shopify Rebellion Black65c3,450$2,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.6752155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed NRG Academy17c2,470$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.4646326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed NRG Academy33c2,159$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.533942.2%143 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed NRG Academy34c1,925$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.541734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed NRG Academy61c1,578$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.854247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba46…6ac5backed Shopify Rebellion Black69c1,311$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.794768.1%32 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed NRG Academy35c1,233$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.73240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e38…2a58backed Shopify Rebellion Black67c1,120$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.64273.8%31 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Shopify Rebellion Black63c783.63$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.536442.2%27 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54b0…df70backed NRG Academy35c772.84$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.491457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed NRG Academy58c739$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.148347%39 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Shopify Rebellion Black51c619.94$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.876055%33 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked NRG Academy45c610.98$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.3568949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69f2…a80dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2886668.2%45 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black42c573.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.11,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Shopify Rebellion Black60c546.2$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.21580%12 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed NRG Academy47c517.82$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.028145.7%37 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Shopify Rebellion Black71c482.57$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9540944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa390…c7d9backed NRG Academy34c472.74$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.737920.3%16 W · 63 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed NRG Academy35c450.46$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.666229%18 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed NRG Academy60c389.91$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.2818457.1%105 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a9b…59eabacked Shopify Rebellion Black59c353.46$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.466753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black54c337.33$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.221136.5%77 W · 134 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Shopify Rebellion Black52c330.31$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.7726932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0328…bd17backed Shopify Rebellion Black45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1657456.8%42 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked NRG Academy35c290$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.52850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Shopify Rebellion Black47c268.05$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3416144.7%72 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed NRG Academy59c255.44$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+39%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe302…a986backed NRG Academy55c224$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.483250%16 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8731…2c12backed NRG Academy35c205.71$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-55.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf85…71e4backed NRG Academy35c202.86$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed NRG Academy32c176.01$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.451,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Shopify Rebellion Black42c175.38$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3723732.9%78 W · 159 L-20.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked NRG Academy40c173.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5213043.8%57 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed NRG Academy32c168.88$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.045836.2%21 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Shopify Rebellion Black52c161.3$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7530835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2330…ed99backed Shopify Rebellion Black58c159.98$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.991163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68f0…c32dbacked NRG Academy64c157.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed NRG Academy37c156.27$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3823733.8%80 W · 157 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed Shopify Rebellion Black66c152.34$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5628541.1%117 W · 168 L-26.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x0a6b…2573backed Shopify Rebellion Black63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.51353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c81…8f47backed Shopify Rebellion Black67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e8…0105backed NRG Academy35c134.86$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.22835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked NRG Academy22c132.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.491,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Shopify Rebellion Black46c131.72$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4718647.8%89 W · 97 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked NRG Academy33c120$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1535142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d68…cd6abacked NRG Academy42c117.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31b9…9c86backed Shopify Rebellion Black71c112.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.686100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG Academy43c108.48$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.71,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x913c…460ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black68c103.12$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Shopify Rebellion Black52c102.08$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.254850%24 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x026f…4614backed Shopify Rebellion Black68c101.08$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked NRG Academy37c100.18$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6840254.7%220 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked NRG Academy33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3334443.3%149 W · 195 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed NRG Academy34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344146.3%19 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Shopify Rebellion Black64c99.85$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9546347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed NRG Academy35c97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9520248.5%98 W · 104 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed NRG Academy45c88.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7313225%33 W · 99 L-18.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-48.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb379…0d76backed NRG Academy17c88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.553132.3%10 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9803…0242backed Shopify Rebellion Black74c87.01$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7713158%76 W · 55 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda33…cd9abacked Shopify Rebellion Black67c73.52$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.261963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9755…ab85backed NRG Academy33c73.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.182040%8 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed Shopify Rebellion Black68c73.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.036762.7%42 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed NRG Academy29c71.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9965347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27a4…d44cbacked NRG Academy56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed NRG Academy34c70$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.811637.9%44 W · 72 L-15.5wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-31.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Shopify Rebellion Black53c69.89$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.658454.8%46 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked NRG Academy34c66.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.611963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked NRG Academy47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011735%41 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed NRG Academy21c61.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3217853.9%96 W · 82 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7160…cce2backed Shopify Rebellion Black54c55.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.75955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…6871backed NRG Academy48c51.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Shopify Rebellion Black68c51.66$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6611564.3%74 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcede…e6c9backed Shopify Rebellion Black70c50.13$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.131668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ee…0439backed Shopify Rebellion Black39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.56854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb234…fd40backed NRG Academy52c48.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked NRG Academy36c47.85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.221,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69aa…4847backed Shopify Rebellion Black51c47.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.361145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed NRG Academy30c46.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9951749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…1068backed Shopify Rebellion Black71c44.69$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.176572.3%47 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6096…e6d9backed Shopify Rebellion Black67c44.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.561968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x007b…1fd2backed Shopify Rebellion Black67c43.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.352556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b6…e8babacked Shopify Rebellion Black67c43.46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.34771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46fa…97fcbacked NRG Academy29c42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed NRG Academy47c41.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8119040%76 W · 114 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked NRG Academy57c41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3710460.6%63 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed NRG Academy32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.811237.5%42 W · 70 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Shopify Rebellion Black71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6434571%245 W · 100 L-1.5wins0.00per pick71cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked NRG Academy29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.610633%35 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked NRG Academy34c39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.269040%36 W · 54 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Shopify Rebellion Black41c38.01$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2732245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed NRG Academy46c37.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0523745.1%107 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc221…1ed3backed Shopify Rebellion Black54c37.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.03850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked NRG Academy45c36.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.642642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8048…5c85backed Shopify Rebellion Black67c36.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.96683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+44%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked NRG Academy36c35.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.837234.7%25 W · 47 L-11.0wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-33.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Shopify Rebellion Black64c35.65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8320553.2%109 W · 96 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37a8…8b4dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black58c34.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.472259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed NRG Academy35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.525245.2%114 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.