Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9364f7f559db30404a9db42c02d40ef435f730e9d951007b0433e7224bbe35d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRG Academyof NRG Academy, Shopify Rebellion Black
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked NRG Academy | 73c | 759.98$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.35 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed NRG Academy | 73c | 587.49$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.59 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 26c | 543.3$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 41c | 455.75$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…c586backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 65c | 328.63$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.1 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 28c | 305.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.64 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 32c | 250.29$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…0bf2backed NRG Academy | 45c | 207.78$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed NRG Academy | 68c | 200.96$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 192.78$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.03 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 22c | 140.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NRG Academy | 52c | 137.69$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed NRG Academy | 78c | 134.86$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 38c | 101.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 14c | 97.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d68…cd6abacked NRG Academy | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65c0…7003backed NRG Academy | 77c | 41.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed NRG Academy | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 52c | 38.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed NRG Academy | 73c | 37.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed NRG Academy | 72c | 31.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed NRG Academy | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…a986backed NRG Academy | 47c | 21.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: NRG Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: NRG Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 PlayoffsShopify Rebellion Black won
- Valorant: NRG Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 2 WinnerShopify Rebellion Black won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.