TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a6b…2573

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
180
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT6950.7%35 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+239%+$47.8
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$81
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.92
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$504
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.26
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$85.38
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$100
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$92.5
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$66.51
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$343.47
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.65
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+300%+$90
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT4845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LUA Gaming vs FALKE Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LUA Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
LoL: VfB eSports vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked VfB eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.5
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: VfB eSports vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked VfB eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+151.3%+$62.05
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$284.98
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
LoL: VfB eSports vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked VfB eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
LoL: G2 NORD vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$84
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$179.99
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$180
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$112.2
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ENCE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Cbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Dbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Sharks (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.03
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$79.13
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BESTIA (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$50.44
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs UNO MILLE - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$33.94
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+171.4%+$60
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$62.01
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs GenOne - Map 1 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: maybe vs Tricksters (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffsbacked maybe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 2 Winnerbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group Abacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$87.5
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$435
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked Game Hunters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked SAW Youngsters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$74
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE (BO5) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.46
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
All 25 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$30.52
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$55.5
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs 9z Team - Map 3 Winnerbacked 9z Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Valorant: Contra vs LYON (BO5) - VCL Latin America North: Playoffsbacked Contra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+145.7%+$58.29
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Valorant: Team Solid vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Playoffsbacked 2GAME Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$254.73
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Alliance Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
Valorant: 9z Team vs University War (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Seasonbacked 9z Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+213.8%+$74.95
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$32.05
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-57.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
1win to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.99
Dota 2: Level UP vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.5
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$112.16
Dota 2: D family vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffsbacked D family · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$25.83
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.8
Dota 2: Carstensz vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffsbacked Mentality Monster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 4ikibamboni (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked 4ikibamboni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.32
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs 4ikibamboni (+1.5)backed 4ikibamboni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: D family vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagebacked D family · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+53%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.49
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.35
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+509%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swedish Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.