TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2 Esportsof T1, G2 Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$339,432
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$407,138

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,432 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 316 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed G2 Esports58c50,000$29,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,749.941,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed T141c35,965$14,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,745.556556.9%37 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed G2 Esports58c33,333$19,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,888.741,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7086…eaddbacked T140c31,876$12,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,881.05714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.39per pick54cpaid-70.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked T142c25,479$10,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,701.1125244.4%112 W · 140 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked T141c24,390$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0008951.7%46 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed T142c23,800$9,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,99653750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked G2 Esports59c22,541$13,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,242.1590348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5286…0d47backed T140c20,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,999.927637.3%103 W · 173 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6768…4ef1backed T140c13,106$5,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,242.210449%51 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79e8…8c49backed T140c11,842$4,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,718.351816.7%3 W · 15 L-5.9wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-70.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked G2 Esports60c10,099$6,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,048.7424832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked G2 Esports59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1001,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeffb…4fb5backed G2 Esports60c8,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2005248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed G2 Esports59c7,601$4,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,116.511,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed G2 Esports59c7,264$4,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,978.2451146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked G2 Esports60c7,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80029443.2%127 W · 167 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacc8…eb83backed T140c6,116$2,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,477.013455.9%19 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf949…3220backed G2 Esports59c5,420$3,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,222.198951.7%46 W · 43 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked G2 Esports60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00035353.5%189 W · 164 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed T141c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05091854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf184…c2d7backed G2 Esports59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.9814553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc6f…6c5cbacked G2 Esports60c4,977$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.2515443.5%67 W · 87 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed T140c4,606$1,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,842.3747455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed G2 Esports59c4,500$2,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84559554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked T141c4,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,64032145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x335d…8c00backed G2 Esports59c3,749$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.215366%35 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed T11c3,103$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.591118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9897…c033backed G2 Esports59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2303860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed T141c2,627$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.226553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked G2 Esports60c2,600$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04010243.1%44 W · 58 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed T141c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021939.3%86 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed T140c2,400$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.5169741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed G2 Esports63c2,319$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.6397854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked G2 Esports60c2,222$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.823948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed T140c2,121$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.41,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked G2 Esports59c2,119$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.9390537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8593…8cfbbacked T141c2,042$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.239962.6%62 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f8c…0e0cbacked T141c2,001$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.5612653.2%67 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed G2 Esports60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80030151.5%155 W · 146 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e6…036dbacked G2 Esports63c1,974$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.981250%6 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed G2 Esports60c1,700$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68075738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked G2 Esports60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.673141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed T141c1,585$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65010746.7%50 W · 57 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked T139c1,396$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54076047%357 W · 403 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…4d0dbacked G2 Esports58c1,380$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.033138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6683…de6bbacked G2 Esports60c1,333$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.3311658.6%68 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed G2 Esports60c1,300$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked T139c1,288$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.3232555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed G2 Esports59c1,228$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.5137647.9%180 W · 196 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed T141c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.282554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a99…51bbbacked T141c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50082650%413 W · 413 L+3.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed G2 Esports59c1,218$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.573351.5%17 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked G2 Esports61c1,200$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46832350.8%164 W · 159 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb0…ae93backed G2 Esports61c1,165$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.446338.1%24 W · 39 L-10.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x118c…3fffbacked G2 Esports60c1,113$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.111258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed T141c1,098$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45012340.7%50 W · 73 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed G2 Esports61c1,073$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.7312341.5%51 W · 72 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked G2 Esports61c1,068$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.572445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed G2 Esports60c1,012$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.8621249.1%104 W · 108 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed G2 Esports60c1,012$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.8621154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked G2 Esports60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4006552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked G2 Esports60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40089050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d2e…826dbacked G2 Esports60c1,000$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.491662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed G2 Esports61c1,000$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39562451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed G2 Esports57c1,000$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.532,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed G2 Esports59c999.97$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.993,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked G2 Esports59c999$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.591,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x824b…8386backed G2 Esports60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3317457.5%100 W · 74 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed T141c812.2$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33310847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked T140c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32026360.1%158 W · 105 L+1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d28…0d64backed T141c800$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32815143.7%66 W · 85 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed G2 Esports60c781.39$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.561,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked T141c771.93$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.2820143.8%88 W · 113 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed G2 Esports59c728.83$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.8311146.8%52 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a9c…fc2bbacked T141c726.46$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025332%81 W · 172 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e1…adf1backed G2 Esports61c678.33$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.552330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed G2 Esports58c666.65$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9966458%385 W · 279 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36e6…ad16backed T147c642.69$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008264.6%53 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked T141c639.99$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.464749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7986…baa5backed T136c639.04$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.0621347.9%102 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed T140c610.85$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.3494134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed T141c607.92$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.2549461.3%303 W · 191 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed T139c539.68$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.4843348.7%211 W · 222 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked G2 Esports61c512$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.6822748%109 W · 118 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba56…10e8backed T141c502.44$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2066523.1%15 W · 50 L-9.6wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-46.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed G2 Esports60c500.99$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.421051.4%108 W · 102 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9048…d351backed T140c500.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006336.5%23 W · 40 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0978…0d99backed G2 Esports60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2006651.5%34 W · 32 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+57.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked G2 Esports61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1957839.7%31 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked G2 Esports60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20022757.3%130 W · 97 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b1…ec80backed G2 Esports60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed G2 Esports59c499.99$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.991,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed T137c499.97$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.991,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed T140c499.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9746058%267 W · 193 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bae…cec4backed G2 Esports60c495$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1986451.6%33 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed T141c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007548%36 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed T140c469.61$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.155744%245 W · 312 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3081…c666backed G2 Esports60c428.35$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.345139.2%20 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd142…5c9ebacked G2 Esports59c420.34$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3425942.1%109 W · 150 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.