TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,986 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over56c1,659$926 inWon+$732.1642149.2%207 W · 214 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a6…7a0abacked Under43c1,408$600 inLost-$6003545.7%16 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Over58c499.98$290 inWon+$209.9994948.5%460 W · 489 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under44c332.96$147 inLost-$146.52,22237.4%832 W · 1,390 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Under45c318.7$143 inLost-$143.0834941.8%146 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Under6c301.69$18 inLost-$17.6196149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked Over58c299.99$174 inWon+$12619644.9%88 W · 108 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked Over55c290.78$159 inWon+$131.586445.3%29 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Under46c267.39$123 inLost-$12315536.1%56 W · 99 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under45c223.33$100 inLost-$100.554429.6%161 W · 383 L-35.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Over56c125.04$69 inWon+$55.5825551.4%131 W · 124 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c2f…bda7backed Over56c124.15$70 inWon+$54.15742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under45c119.96$54 inLost-$54.3861746.5%287 W · 330 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb84…4a20backed Under47c113.03$53 inLost-$53.192365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf306…4cf8backed Over57c106.08$60 inWon+$46.083426.5%9 W · 25 L-5.5wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-37%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Under11c100$11 inLost-$117938%30 W · 49 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Under42c99.68$42 inLost-$4253753.6%288 W · 249 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under42c91.73$39 inLost-$38.791,30049.2%639 W · 661 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca8…b713backed Under47c63.83$30 inLost-$3013444.8%60 W · 74 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5151…645cbacked Under44c60$26 inLost-$26.145444.3%201 W · 253 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7948…dad7backed Under42c59.52$25 inLost-$2513160.3%79 W · 52 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Under42c47.62$20 inLost-$2022462.1%139 W · 85 L+0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a60…a744backed Under42c47.62$20 inLost-$2052345.9%240 W · 283 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Over58c45.73$27 inWon+$19.2134756.5%196 W · 151 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over56c27.64$16 inWon+$12.092,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Over56c26.79$15 inWon+$11.7931750.8%161 W · 156 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.