TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

First Blood in Game 3?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
T1of G2 Esports, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,119
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,767

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,119 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe4c9…8803backed T159c211.43$124 inWon+$87.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed G2 Esports41c195.47$80 inLost-$80.1434756.5%196 W · 151 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked T159c170.51$100 inWon+$70.5163458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aae…91c6backed T159c168.55$100 inWon+$68.552548%12 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed G2 Esports41c152.82$63 inLost-$62.6696149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed G2 Esports40c108.95$44 inLost-$43.583,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed G2 Esports48c104.88$50 inLost-$501844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4125…268bbacked T159c102.22$60 inWon+$42.222941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed G2 Esports42c100$42 inLost-$4262649.8%312 W · 314 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf325…2dbabacked T159c83.05$49 inWon+$34.05757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf555…b36bbacked T158c69.26$40 inWon+$29.094450%22 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed08…ed3bbacked G2 Esports48c62.5$30 inLost-$3022444.6%100 W · 124 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5151…645cbacked G2 Esports42c58.49$24 inLost-$24.2745444.3%201 W · 253 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaab…82a4backed T155c50$28 inWon+$22.513451.5%69 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c6…97aebacked G2 Esports48c21$10 inLost-$1019740.1%79 W · 118 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.