Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc448f1ce2390873a767276912aeac0098f18c006f32f809302fb35e6c0e14565
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, T1
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7df…7f82backed T1 | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked G2 Esports | 45c | 878.31$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.07 | 324 | 42%136 W · 188 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…3df5backed G2 Esports | 47c | 749.98$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.49 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed T1 | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked T1 | 50c | 462$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 188 | 41%77 W · 111 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed G2 Esports | 50c | 416.67$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.67 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed T1 | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -16.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…3d27backed T1 | 53c | 228$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 Esports | 21c | 226.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.32 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked T1 | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked G2 Esports | 64c | 182$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed T1 | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 760 | 28.9%220 W · 540 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed G2 Esports | 45c | 112.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed T1 | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed G2 Esports | 22c | 96.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.29 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…7d8dbacked G2 Esports | 22c | 71.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked G2 Esports | 19c | 67.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed G2 Esports | 21c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed G2 Esports | 48c | 54.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed G2 Esports | 47c | 51.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed T1 | 53c | 50.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10a4…689bbacked T1 | 25c | 45.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…cbdcbacked T1 | 45c | 43.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed G2 Esports | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked G2 Esports | 28c | 38.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed T1 | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 317 | 50.8%161 W · 156 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf822…d71cbacked T1 | 64c | 23.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…3513backed T1 | 69c | 21.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…bbfbbacked T1 | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90d8…4a48backed T1 | 70c | 18.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?G2 Esports won
- First Blood in Game 2?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 3?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 4?T1 won
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)T1 won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)G2 Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.