TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc7df…7f82

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
141
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 35.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT8749.4%43 W · 44 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$53.33
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$66.96
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+166.7%+$33.33
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2222.7%5 W · 17 L-6.5wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-57.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$20.52
Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$21.12
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.3
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.28
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.8
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.45
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.43
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$29.1
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.71
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.34
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
All 22 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-5.1wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-35.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.99
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.66
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$420.01
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
First Blood in Game 3?backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$91.11
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$936Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$678.05
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$86.47
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$75.2
Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.93
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Krueger (+1.5)backed Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Wimbledon WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$225.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.