Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab9d1f1549ab3ac350e4a43e0ecc9639b19045960bc7f2b068be5085348835d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 49c | 20,769$10,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,631.78 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 51c | 16,000$8,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,840 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 13,945$6,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,972.44 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 49c | 12,409$6,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,348.79 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b6…fcdabacked Over | 50c | 11,059$5,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,559.14 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…cba2backed Over | 49c | 8,171$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,001.85 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…68b5backed Over | 51c | 5,420$2,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,764.03 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed Over | 49c | 5,085$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.42 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 48c | 4,310$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.38 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Over | 51c | 4,041$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.83 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…56d8backed Under | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 52c | 2,789$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.99 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 53c | 2,748$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.07 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed Over | 49c | 2,416$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.52 | 233 | 32.6%76 W · 157 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…1aecbacked Over | 50c | 2,218$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.85 | 218 | 28.4%62 W · 156 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Over | 48c | 1,943$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.82 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Over | 50c | 1,790$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.93 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Over | 51c | 1,658$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.53 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over | 51c | 1,593$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.9 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 1,500$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.43 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over | 51c | 1,322$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.22 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…4243backed Over | 49c | 1,311$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Over | 51c | 1,248$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.66 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ee…32a0backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 50c | 1,163$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.52 | 169 | 33.1%56 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…681dbacked Over | 50c | 1,047$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.1 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Over | 51c | 1,016$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…734fbacked Under | 47c | 949.53$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.25 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Under | 48c | 924.45$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.78 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Over | 50c | 920$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 293 | 38.6%113 W · 180 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd747…076cbacked Over | 50c | 806.4$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Over | 50c | 706.1$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 52c | 686.39$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.64 | 361 | 55.4%200 W · 161 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 52c | 665.97$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.31 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Over | 51c | 620.11$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.26 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 48c | 618$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.68 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Under | 46c | 607.48$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.04 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…0aa4backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 47c | 575.93$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.95 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Over | 60c | 565.33$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.2 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 48c | 553.41$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.51 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 56c | 548.1$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.94 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Over | 51c | 519.61$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Under | 46c | 500.98$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed Under | 47c | 485.24$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.27 | 239 | 46%110 W · 129 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 51c | 469.7$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.28 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Over | 50c | 461.32$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.66 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Over | 51c | 455.88$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed Over | 50c | 428$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Over | 49c | 405.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Over | 53c | 402.92$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.32 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5d…d8b5backed Under | 5c | 400.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.7 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 49c | 359.18$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.18 | 205 | 51.7%106 W · 99 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8a…76a2backed Over | 50c | 358$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Over | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fe…5cbfbacked Over | 50c | 340$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.95 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2f…c08dbacked Over | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Over | 51c | 310$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.58 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Over | 51c | 297.06$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 49c | 296$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.04 | 329 | 39.8%131 W · 198 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 230 | 57.8%133 W · 97 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Over | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Over | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…ae93backed Over | 54c | 267.83$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.46 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -10.0wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Over | 48c | 261.33$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Over | 50c | 242$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 52c | 240$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Over | 50c | 227.26$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Over | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…f6c4backed Over | 49c | 221.1$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf306…4cf8backed Over | 56c | 210.5$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.88 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Over | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…c701backed Over | 51c | 207.68$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.12 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…d351backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Under | 50c | 199.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 573 | 51.3%294 W · 279 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Over | 50c | 184.71$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd759…6d1abacked Over | 53c | 179.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…e7acbacked Over | 51c | 156.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.71 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Over | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 8c | 130.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Under | 46c | 130$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…c6e6backed Over | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 43.3%55 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…f437backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa839…8b66backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…bf3fbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 50c | 85.53$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Bilibili Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?Bilibili Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 3?Hanwha Life Esports won
- First Blood in Game 4?Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+2.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.