TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,709
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,709 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6918…782bbacked Under49c20,769$10,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,631.781,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under51c16,000$8,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,84059450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c13,945$6,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,972.441,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Under49c12,409$6,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,348.791,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8b6…fcdabacked Over50c11,059$5,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,559.141729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a14…cba2backed Over49c8,171$4,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,001.856342.9%27 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Over51c5,420$2,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,764.034060%24 W · 16 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfae1…fdc1backed Over49c5,085$2,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,492.421752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under48c4,310$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,238.3889050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdd2…0abfbacked Over51c4,041$2,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,047.835825.9%15 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed Under52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.159253.3%49 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over52c2,789$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.991,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over53c2,748$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.071,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10ae…df49backed Over49c2,416$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.5223332.6%76 W · 157 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x71f5…1aecbacked Over50c2,218$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.8521828.4%62 W · 156 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0009862.2%61 W · 37 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed Over48c1,943$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.825133.3%17 W · 34 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x63ad…790cbacked Over50c1,790$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.935431.5%17 W · 37 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa57e…ed54backed Over51c1,658$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.532835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Over51c1,593$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.91,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c1,500$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.432,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over51c1,322$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.223240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1032…4243backed Over49c1,311$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.391442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Over51c1,248$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.6624535.9%88 W · 157 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29ee…32a0backed Over50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Over50c1,163$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.5216933.1%56 W · 113 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e6a…681dbacked Over50c1,047$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.14837.5%18 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Over51c1,016$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5181936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ad…734fbacked Under47c949.53$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.2516047.5%76 W · 84 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Under48c924.45$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.7816654.2%90 W · 76 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Over50c920$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46029338.6%113 W · 180 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd747…076cbacked Over50c806.4$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.22138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0d4…0289backed Over49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3924327.9%12 W · 31 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-54.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Over50c706.1$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3538929.2%26 W · 63 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-31.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Over52c686.39$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.6436155.4%200 W · 161 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over52c665.97$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.312,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Over51c620.11$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.2635442.1%149 W · 205 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under48c618$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6820143.8%88 W · 113 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed Under46c607.48$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.048943.8%39 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf3f…0aa4backed Over51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3062365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under47c575.93$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.952,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Over60c565.33$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.295048.5%461 W · 489 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under48c553.41$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.5122336.8%82 W · 141 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over56c548.1$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.9485746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dc6…4b55backed Over51c519.61$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2651656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked Under46c500.98$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.531154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed Under47c485.24$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.2723946%110 W · 129 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Over51c469.7$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.2843839.7%174 W · 264 L-24.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Over50c461.32$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.6617444.8%78 W · 96 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Over51c455.88$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23211146.8%52 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3f0…9384backed Over50c428$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2143737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Over49c405.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Over53c402.92$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.321,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5d…d8b5backed Under5c400.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.73438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+51.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under49c359.18$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.1820551.7%106 W · 99 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed Over50c358$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1794348.8%21 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed Over50c350$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1759537.9%36 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fe…5cbfbacked Over50c340$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.956628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa2f…c08dbacked Over51c313.73$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Over51c310$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.434756.5%196 W · 151 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed Over56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5829643.6%129 W · 167 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Under45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16596149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a1…ceb5backed Over51c297.06$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.53154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over49c296$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.0432939.8%131 W · 198 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Over53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15023057.8%133 W · 97 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed Over50c280$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1408237.8%31 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked Over50c280$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14012447.6%59 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb0…ae93backed Over54c267.83$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.466338.1%24 W · 39 L-10.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x0a29…836dbacked Over48c261.33$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.445154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Over50c242$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12119752.8%104 W · 93 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over52c240$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.824832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed Over50c227.26$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.44650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed Over53c226.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12042348.2%204 W · 219 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe419…f6c4backed Over49c221.1$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.34812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-79.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf306…4cf8backed Over56c210.5$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.883426.5%9 W · 25 L-5.5wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-37%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked Over12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid+30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb603…c701backed Over51c207.68$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1216148.4%78 W · 83 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9048…d351backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006336.5%23 W · 40 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Under50c199.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8457351.3%294 W · 279 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017650%88 W · 88 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9dd…13a2backed Over50c184.71$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd759…6d1abacked Over53c179.25$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d6…e7acbacked Over51c156.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.713040%12 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5323…326abacked Over56c142.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808547.1%40 W · 45 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62cd…7b19backed Over50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706746.3%31 W · 36 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over8c130.36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1416819.6%33 W · 135 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked Under46c130$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.26445.3%29 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Over56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015536.1%56 W · 99 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4861256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514247.6%20 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5611257.1%64 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5262649.8%312 W · 314 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5015660.9%95 W · 61 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0aaa…c6e6backed Over50c99.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012743.3%55 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…f437backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505257.7%30 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa839…8b66backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015248.7%74 W · 78 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012351.2%63 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5625…bf3fbacked Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under50c85.53$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0116346%75 W · 88 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.