Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe0f695d083b185b545336494d447c7c75222c63d150a975360bd1ac37db50a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 54c | 16,597$8,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,984.92 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 46c | 7,500$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 4,635$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.65 | 1,213 | 43.4%527 W · 686 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 45c | 4,581$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.65 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…56d8backed Under | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.28 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Under | 73c | 2,959$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.03 | 381 | 54.3%207 W · 174 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed Under | 66c | 2,786$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.77 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 2,227$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.56 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Over | 53c | 1,483$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.06 | 293 | 38.6%113 W · 180 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 44c | 1,300$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.99 | 903 | 50.8%459 W · 444 L | +17.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…8238backed Over | 53c | 923.01$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.2 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Over | 57c | 764.43$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.9 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 43c | 648.61$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.26 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 46c | 524.16$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.33 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 53c | 504.66$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.47 | 1,320 | 38.6%510 W · 810 L | -66.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf306…4cf8backed Over | 59c | 502.76$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Over | 53c | 489.52$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.45 | 248 | 36.7%91 W · 157 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 34c | 285.12$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Over | 52c | 232.92$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.92 | 1,117 | 48.8%545 W · 572 L | +40.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 574 | 49.7%285 W · 289 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c80…6ff1backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 47c | 187.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.23 | 205 | 51.7%106 W · 99 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Over | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Over | 56c | 128.92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…c701backed Over | 53c | 108.34$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06d…e9ddbacked Under | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…d0cfbacked Under | 50c | 94.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…bf3fbacked Over | 55c | 91.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…c500backed Over | 50c | 90.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Under | 50c | 89.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 967 | 49.8%482 W · 485 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed Under | 47c | 79.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 239 | 46%110 W · 129 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Over | 55c | 78.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 246 | 56.1%138 W · 108 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Over | 56c | 72.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Under | 66c | 67.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Over | 48c | 62.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…dfa9backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 46c | 50.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 40c | 41.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046f…85b3backed Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e79…83eebacked Over | 55c | 40.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…f119backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…fcabbacked Over | 30c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Under | 43c | 39.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Over | 56c | 34.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f2…13aabacked Over | 57c | 34.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 47c | 29.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 395 | 55.2%218 W · 177 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x416b…bad6backed Under | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed Over | 53c | 23.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 396 | 52%206 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 66c | 23.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…c6e6backed Over | 50c | 21.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 127 | 43.3%55 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 58c | 19.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -12.6wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 54c | 19.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Bilibili Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?Bilibili Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 3?Hanwha Life Esports won
- First Blood in Game 4?Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+2.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.