TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

First Blood in Game 2?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, Hanwha Life Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,068
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,013

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,068 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hanwha Life Esports50c1,002$501 inLost-$5013,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa4…e8e1backed Bilibili Gaming50c500$250 inWon+$2502330.4%7 W · 16 L-5.0wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-39.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xb010…3c99backed Bilibili Gaming50c400$200 inWon+$200250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Bilibili Gaming44c195.46$85 inWon+$110.0334756.5%196 W · 151 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Hanwha Life Esports56c178.06$100 inLost-$10062739.9%250 W · 377 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Hanwha Life Esports57c175.44$100 inLost-$1003050%15 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Bilibili Gaming48c166.24$80 inWon+$86.258750.6%44 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Hanwha Life Esports52c149.81$78 inLost-$77.927356.8%155 W · 118 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4125…268bbacked Bilibili Gaming51c98.47$50 inWon+$48.472941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6993…3f71backed Bilibili Gaming52c96.95$50 inWon+$46.952441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Bilibili Gaming51c90.7$46 inWon+$44.562,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Hanwha Life Esports49c76.87$38 inLost-$37.6696149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5151…645cbacked Hanwha Life Esports48c59.98$29 inLost-$28.7945444.3%201 W · 253 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc6…bffabacked Hanwha Life Esports57c54.39$31 inLost-$311926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd8be…37f9backed Bilibili Gaming55c48.29$26 inWon+$21.864852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Bilibili Gaming51c30$15 inWon+$14.761746.5%287 W · 330 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaab…82a4backed Hanwha Life Esports52c28.85$15 inLost-$1513451.5%69 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc0…4dfcbacked Bilibili Gaming51c26$13 inWon+$12.741457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.