TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,887

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,588 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under52c999.96$520 inWon+$479.983,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over48c696.38$334 inLost-$333.5433838.2%129 W · 209 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over48c500$240 inLost-$24011434.2%39 W · 75 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under56c467.19$262 inWon+$205.2289050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Under52c417.31$217 inWon+$200.3111146.8%52 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed Over41c243.9$100 inLost-$10042348.2%204 W · 219 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Over49c183.79$89 inLost-$89.428842%37 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under59c174.6$103 inWon+$71.598750.6%44 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5323…326abacked Under47c149.21$70 inWon+$79.218547.1%40 W · 45 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over42c110.17$46 inLost-$46.11,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c8…f437backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost-$505257.7%30 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over48c101.34$48 inLost-$48.4761746.5%287 W · 330 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9fc…96cdbacked Over65c100.36$65 inLost-$65812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick50cpaid-75%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Over53c88.5$47 inLost-$46.996149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d42…eb8ebacked Under51c79.7$41 inWon+$38.7212746.5%59 W · 68 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba4…8dedbacked Over46c70$32 inLost-$31.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over48c62.5$30 inLost-$301040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Over41c60$25 inLost-$24.636155.4%200 W · 161 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5151…645cbacked Under50c60$30 inWon+$3045444.3%201 W · 253 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7597…a3d7backed Under53c55.39$29 inWon+$25.98966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf555…b36bbacked Over41c48.78$20 inLost-$204450%22 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ab0…34d2backed Under47c31.91$15 inWon+$16.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over47c27.66$13 inLost-$1385746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f90…4c92backed Over50c20$10 inLost-$106035%21 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacf9…2968backed Over69c15.64$11 inLost-$10.827846.2%36 W · 42 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.